One In Four Tests Auto by 2026

AA Driving School predicts one in four driving test passes will be in automatic cars by 2026

  • Trend towards automatic driving licenses picks up pace
  • Electric vehicle adoption driving shift towards automatics
  • Gap between numbers of males and females taking automatic tests narrowing
  • 21% of AA Driving School franchises now teaching automatics
  • June 2nd 2024 marks 55 years of automatic driving tests

3 June 2024

AA Driving School predicts more than 25% of practical driving test passes will be in automatic vehicles by 2026, fuelled by the switch to electric vehicles. In the latest data released by DVSA, 17% of all passes are in an automatic compared with 13.4% the previous year, and just five percent a decade earlier. This figure increases around three percentage points per year.

In 2022/23 there were 324,064 automatic tests (1,688,955 overall) conducted with 138,354 producing a pass (816,775 overall). Based on that trajectory (of an increase of 3 percentage points per year), AA Driving School predicts that in 2023/24 20% of all passes will be in an automatic, 2024/25 23%, and 2025/26 it will be 26%. This is set to rise even further with the ban of sales of new petrol and diesel vehicles on the horizon.

The rise year-on-year reflects the numbers of instructors teaching in automatic vehicles. In January this year, 21% of AA Driving School franchisees were teaching in an automatic compared with 79% in manual. This broadly represents the percentage split between manual and automatic practical tests being conducted.

"As more people become confident with the idea of their driving future being electric, the idea of needing to drive a manual vehicle will feel irrelevant to many."
Camilla Benitz, Managing Director, AA Driving School

The data also shows more females than males are taking automatic tests, though the gap has lessened since the pandemic. Prior to 2019/20, typically around three-quarters of automatic tests were taken by female pupils. This has reduced every year since, but currently stands at more than 60%.

AA Driving School data also shows older learners are more likely to have lessons in an automatic than younger learners. Of the school’s current automatic pupils, 43% are over 30 (10% of overall pupils) compared to just 17% who are 17-20 years old (4 percent of overall pupils).

There are many reasons pupils opt for learning in an automatic including the perception it is simpler as there are no gears or clutch to master. This isn’t replicated in pass rates as the automatic is around six percent lower than manual. The difference in pass rates may be because automatic pupils develop the basic skills sooner and take their test before they are totally ready.

It’s likely the automatic numbers will increase further and faster after the 2035 ban on new petrol and diesel sales. As EVs are automatic the need to learn in a manual vehicle will decrease and we should see automatic rates comfortably overtake manual. The number of people training to be an instructor in an automatic has also risen. In 2023, 37% of those learning to be a driving instructor with the AA chose an automatic vehicle. The AA Driving School recently celebrated the second anniversary of adding electric vehicles to its fleet*.

Automatic driving tests were introduced 55 years ago, in 1969. From June 2nd 1969 a separate driving licence group for automatic vehicles was introduced.**

Automatic lessons

 

Camilla Benitz, Managing Director, AA Driving School, said: “As EVs and hybrids become more popular due to lower day-to-day running costs and as the impending ban on sales of new petrol and diesel cars gets closer, more people are choosing to learn in an automatic.

“As more people become confident with the idea of their driving future being electric, the idea of needing to drive a manual vehicle will feel irrelevant to many. Indeed, we see many are already choosing to not only learn in an automatic, but to learn in an electric vehicle.

“We see this trend continuing and the need for manual tuition declining, though manual licences will remain important for some drivers as they will want the option to drive a larger variety of vehicles. Pre-pandemic more females than males took automatic tests, but we are now seeing male numbers increase and expect that trend to continue at a faster pace than before due to more automatic vehicles being available and more people buying EVs and hybrids.”

For more information about taking an AA Driving School franchise please visit Driving Instructor Franchise Opportunities | The AA

Tests manual v automatic Tests

Year

Total all tests

Passes

Pass rate

Automatic conducted

Passes

Pass rate

% Auto tests

Auto as % of all passes

2012/13

1,436,481

677,255

47.1

87,844

34,749

39.6

6.12%

5.10%

2013/14

1,477,585

695,580

47.1

95,759

37,266

38.9

6.48%

5.30%

2014/15

1,532,504

718,712

46.9

105,948

41,391

39.1

6.91%

5.70%

2015/16

1,537,735

723,444

47.0

114,994

45,238

39.3

7.48%

6.20%

2016/17

1,730,936

815,168

47.1

141,264

56,172

39.8

8.16%

6.80%

2017/18

1,718,519

795,892

46.3

163,790

63,727

38.9

9.53%

8%

2018/19

1,664,219

761,972

45.8

185,043

71,870

38.8

11.12%

9.40%

2019/20

1,599,566

734,600

45.9

202,506

79,951

39.5

12.66%

10.80%

2020/21

437,352

217,807

49.8

60,209

24,996

41.5

13.77%

11.40%

2021/22

1,538,314

751,914

48.9

242,713

101,231

41.7

15.78%

13.40%

2022/23

1,688,955

816,775

48.4

324,064

138,354

42.7

19.19%

16.94%

2023/24

(YTD)

1,384,681

 

 

 

 

 

22%*

20% *

2024/25

 

 

 

 

 

 

25%*

23% *

2025/26

 

 

 

 

 

 

28%*

26% *

*Predicted based on current trends

Male v Female automatic tests taken

Year

Male

Female

% female

2012/13

20336

67506

76.8

2013/14

22295

73461

76.7

2014/15

25233

80714

76.2

2015/16

28230

86764

75.5

2016/17

35469

105790

74.9

2017/18

39706

124083

75.8

2018/19

46098

138944

75.1

2019/20

53500

148995

73.6

2020/21

18938

41250

68.5

2021/22

83086

159520

65.7

2022/23

116349

207638

64.1


Source data Driving Test Stats tables DVSA0201 and DVSA1206

Information about learning in an automatic

*UK Driving School Switches On Electric Lessons | AA (theaa.com)

**History of road safety, The Highway Code and the driving test - GOV.UK (www.gov.uk)