Emergency breakdown

March 2014

View our older posts from The AA Special Operations Response Team (AASORT) and expert meteorologist Matthew Hugo.

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March blog posts

Monday 31 March 10am

Mixed week ahead

  • Often unsettled across more southern and western areas of the UK throughout the week, but with all areas seeing some rain or showers by the end of the week.
  • Risk of some heavy rain/showers and thunderstorms at times, again particularly so across southern and western areas of the UK.
  • Temperatures generally above average so feeling very mild for many areas, but with some significant local variations at times.

Monday

Weather Map

A mixture of sunshine and showers is expected to start the week, especially so for more southern and western areas of the UK whilst northern and eastern areas generally have a mainly dry day with some bright or sunny spells. Longer spells of rain may develop at times across SW England, Wales and Ireland. Of particular interest and concern is the potential development of a region of heavy and perhaps thundery showers through parts of Wales, the Midlands and up into NW England later this evening. Some torrential downpours with lightning are possible, especially within the highlighted area;

Tuesday and Wednesday

Both Tuesday and Wednesday are forecast to maintain a risk of showers or longer spells of rain, particularly so across Ireland, Wales, S and SW England, Midlands and N England. Some of the showers could be heavy and there is likely to be an on-going risk of thunder at times, but this risk will be particularly localised. Northern and eastern areas of Scotland and England are expected to maintain generally dry conditions with some bright or sunny spells, but there could well be a persistent risk of low cloud and sea fog across coastal areas of both E Scotland and E England which would bring some locally poor visibility and markedly cooler conditions.

Thursday and Friday

The end of the week is currently expected to see a more widespread risk of rain and showers develop across south-western areas of the UK and then move north-eastwards through Thursday and overnight into Friday. As a result many areas are at risk of some rain or showers to end the week, but with perhaps drier and brighter conditions following by Friday, despite a likely on-going risk of showers. A change in wind direction is also expected, so the very mild conditions that is likely to dominate for most of the week, will give way to cooler and fresher conditions from the south-west.

Potential severe weather and temperatures

The risk of heavy and perhaps thundery showers for Monday has been highlighted and this may well bring locally 10mm to 20mm of rainfall within a short space of time leading to some localised flooding. Up to 40mm to 50mm of rainfall is possible across some southern and south-western areas of the UK between Monday and Friday. Some fog and low cloud is possible across northern and eastern areas of England at times, this bringing poor conditions and some localised fog is possible almost anywhere across England and Wales at times on Monday or Tuesday. Temperatures through the week are forecast to range between 12C and 16C generally, but with maximum temperatures reaching up to 18C to 20C at times across more urban areas of the south. No frost or ice is expected at any point this week.

Matt Hugo, Meteorologist

Friday 28 March 9am

Mainly dry and warm

  • A mainly dry weekend for most, especially across England and Wales and becoming markedly warmer than of late.
  • More unsettled weather is expected across Ireland, W Scotland and perhaps SW England at times with some rain or showers, particularly so across Ireland.
  • Temperatures becoming above average and warm with temperatures peaking near 20C, possibly, on Sunday.
  • Low cloud across E Scotland and NE England likely to signal these areas remaining markedly cooler and cloudier throughout most of the weekend.

Saturday and Sunday

After the recent chilly weather of the last few days a significant change in wind direction, to more of a south-easterly, will signal quite a rapid increase in temperatures this weekend and that is the primary feature of interest.

For most areas of England, Wales and Scotland the weekend is set fair with bright or sunny spells at times, especially across inland areas. Thicker cloud with some rain or showers may influence south-west England and the west of Wales at times, especially during the latter half of the weekend, but for most a fine and increasingly warm weekend is likely. E Scotland and NE England is, however, likely to maintain a risk of low cloud throughout the weekend and this will produce much cooler conditions here as well. Ireland is likely to be unsettled throughout the weekend with a risk of some rain or showers at times, often heavy as well.

Potential severe weather and a look at temperatures

Some locally heavy showers, downpours and localised thunderstorms are possible today (Friday) across parts of the Midlands, N England and S and SW England, but overall the weekend is not expected to produce any severe weather. Temperatures will be on the increase over the weekend too with maximum temperatures ranging between 16C and 20C for most of England and Wales during Saturday and especially Sunday afternoon.

Matt Hugo, Meteorologist

Thursday 27 March 9am

SAR to Resuscitation

On Wednesday AA SORT manager John Seymour and I attended a ‘SAR to Resuscitation’ conference held in Poole, Dorset. This event organised by Surf Lifesaving GB and Professional Rescue proved to be an excellent event attended by representatives of many UK Fire services, those in the voluntary sector working in SAR and distinguished international guests.

Highlights of the day include.

  • An excellent presentation from Professor Mike Tipton (university of Portsmouth) about the dilemma of when to end a search and rescue operation and move to a recovery process. The physiological and environmental considerations play a huge role with regards to long term survival rates.
  • Dr Patrick Morgan (medical advisor to the RNLI, amongst many other connections) spoke excellently about the role of clinical governance.
  • A refreshing, very frank appraisal of flood rescue response within the UK was provided by Deputy Chief Fire Officer of Norfolk and chair of CFOA UK Water Working Group, Roy Harold.
  • A talk by Dr Anna Bågenholm from Sweden and her colleague Dr. Torvind Naesheim. Anna survived for over 2.5 hours whilst clinically dead, before make a full recovery and a return to work. This was possible by Anna experiencing very deep accidental Hypothermia, with her core temperature dropping to just 13.7ºC. Their message, nobody should be declared dead, until they are warm and dead.
  • Deputy Chief John Esposito of FDNY spoke of his department's experiences of dealing with the large scale event of Hurricane Sandy and their approach of de-centralising command and control

There was a lot of fresh information to take away and learn from, but one of the best items that has stuck with me is that as a nation we should stop using the phrase 'lessons learned' untill changes have been made on the back of those lessons. Until that time it should be referred to as 'Lessons Identified'.

Ian, your man on Twitter @AASORT

Wednesday 26 March 9am

Remaining unsettled and cold

  • Middle and latter half of the week set to maintain quite a cold east or south-easterly wind across most areas.
  • Further showers or longer spells of rain at times, especially across England and Wales.
  • Overnight frost and icy patches remain a risk.
  • Temperatures generally slightly below average. Feeling colder in the wind and unsettled conditions.

Mid-week

A cold and frosty start for many areas on Wednesday along with some icy patches, after temperatures fell to -3C in some places overnight.

Low pressure expected to move into the UK from the east will bring an increased risk of rain or showers spreading westwards across many areas during the second half of Wednesday and overnight.

Some locally heavy bursts of rain or showers are possible along with a possibility of some sleet and snow, especially above 250m across England and Wales. Some slight accumulations are possible into the overnight period and there will be a risk of frost and icy patches in places.

Thursday and Friday

The unsettled theme continues, particularly for England and Wales where further heavy rain or showers are possible.

Some locally heavy and perhaps thundery showers are possible in places, on Thursday, whilst more prolonged spells of rain may well affect parts of the south and south-west on Friday.

A persistent and chilly east or south-easterly wind will make for quite a cold feel, especially when combined with the unsettled conditions.

The best conditions to end the week are expected across central and northern areas of Scotland where it will be mainly dry and bright. Overnight frost and icy patches remain possible, but it isn’t expected to be a widespread risk.

Potential severe weather and temperatures

Some locally heavy showers or rain are possible through the end of the week across parts of England and Wales with a possibility of some localised thunderstorms as well. These may bring some poor driving conditions at times.

The risk of sleet and snow overnight into Thursday isn’t expected to be significant despite some slight accumulations.

Frost and ice are possible in places, but this will be a localised/regional risk.

Temperatures are expected to range between 8C and 12C, though perhaps only 6C or 7C at times beneath any persistent rain.

Matt Hugo, Meteorologist

Monday 24 March 9am

Unsettled and quite cool

  • A generally unsettled week ahead, despite northern and western becoming drier and brighter later.
  • Showers or longer spells of rain expected at times across England and Wales in particular.
  • Drier and brighter weather possible later in the week, but still with some scattered showers.
  • Temperatures generally slightly below average for late March and feeling cooler in the wind. Frost possible at times too.

Monday

For many areas of the UK the week is set to start dry with some prolonged bright or sunny spells after a cold and frosty start. Best of the sunshine is expected across more central and eastern areas of England and also across parts of Scotland. Further west and a weather front will bring increasingly cloudy and breezy conditions across Ireland, Wales and SW England with some rain at times and at the same time the cloudy and damp conditions then move north and east overnight.

Tuesday

Into Tuesday and overall it is an unsettled day. An area of rain is expected to be quite slow moving across parts of England and Wales through the day and it will feel quite cold beneath this slow moving region of cloudy and wet conditions. Elsewhere showers are expected at times, but for Ireland and N Scotland it should be mainly dry with some bright spells at times.

Wednesday

Mid-week, at the moment generally sees a north and south divide in conditions developing as pressure begins to rise across Scotland and Ireland. As a result for more northern and western areas of the UK, with the exception of a few showers, mid-week is forecast to be dry with some bright or sunny spells once overnight mist and fog clears. Elsewhere, for England and Wales, a more unsettled north-easterly wind is expected which will bring thicker cloud and some rain or showers. It is expected to feel quite cool beneath the cloudy, damp conditions and with perhaps some sleet and snow falling on higher ground for a time.

Thursday and Friday

The week is currently forecast to end with England and Wales maintaining a cloudier and more unsettled spell of weather with a risk of showers and perhaps some longer spells of rain at times, especially across more eastern areas of England. This is likely to be in contrast with Ireland and Scotland where high pressure will maintain mainly dry and settled conditions with some bright or sunny spells, but again overnight mist and fog is possible.

Severe weather and temperatures

Despite quite an unsettled theme at times this week, no severe weather is currently expected. Rainfall amounts across more eastern areas of England may near 30mm to 40mm between Monday and Friday, but currently no disruptive rainfall totals are expected. Some sleet and snow may be possible mid-week for higher ground of N England, but no significant snowfall is to be expected. Temperatures are forecast to generally be slightly below average and the cool/cold feel being accentuated at times by the cloudy and breezy conditions. Maximum temperatures generally ranging between 6C and 10C, though locally up to 11C or 12C in any brighter conditions later in the week. Frost is possible by night but this will be localised and not really widespread.

Matt Hugo, Meteorologist

Friday 21 March 10am

Cold and Showery

  • Sunshine and showers for many this weekend, especially on Saturday.
  • Showers wintry, especially on higher ground but with hail and sleet possible to lower levels at times.
  • Cold by night with widespread frost and icy patches, a particularly cold night on Sunday night is expected.
  • Risk of some travel disruption from snow across higher level routes of Scotland in particular.

The change to colder conditions has taken place across many areas of the UK now and the remainder of Friday will produce a mixture of sunshine and showers, especially across northern and western areas of the UK where they are expected to merge to give longer spells of rain, sleet and hill snow later on. This will then be followed by a cold night with a risk of frost and icy patches overnight into Saturday.

Weather Map

The weekend as a whole will maintain the risk of sunshine and showers. The showers are expected to be most frequent across northern and western areas where they may be heavy at times with a risk of thunder. Given the cold air mass over the UK then the showers will fall as hail, sleet and snow at times especially above 200m to 250m across Ireland, Scotland and Northern England. Some accumulating snow is possible as well, particularly so where showers become more organised and especially by night. Up to 5cm to 10cm of snowfall is possible across inland areas of Scotland above 300m to 350m for example, whilst smaller accumulations are possible elsewhere across Ireland and Northern England at times. Areas at greatest risk of seeing some snow accumulations over the weekend have been highlighted in yellow;

Further south and east the showers will be more scattered, but may still produce some hail and sleet at times. By Sunday the showers will generally become less frequent from the west and south-west with a dry end to the day away from the north and east of the UK in particular. For many areas of the UK a moderate or fresh north-westerly wind will make for a cold feel throughout the weekend and the risk of frost and icy patches is likely to be widespread. Overnight lows on Sunday night into Monday may well fall to -4C or -5C across rural areas of Northern England and Scotland so a particularly cold and potentially icy start to Monday is something to be aware as well.

Matt Hugo, Meteorologist

Wednesday 19 March 9am

Wet and windy then turning colder

  • Increasingly wet and windy through the rest of the week, especially in the north and west.
  • Turning colder for many areas through late Thursday and then particularly on Friday.
  • Increasing risk of showers turning wintry across northern and western areas on Friday with overnight frosts and icy patches possible.
  • Colder regime continuing into the coming weekend with a late ‘taste’ of winter for many areas.

Wednesday

Today will provide some of the best conditions of the week for many areas with bright or sunny spells and very mild if not warm temperatures across a wide portion of England and Wales. The highest temperatures will, as usual, be across the south-east of England with highs ranging between 16C and 18C. It is expected to be cloudier and windier across Scotland and Ireland with some rain or showers at times, especially so across western areas.

Thursday and Friday

It’s all change during the end of the week as low pressure passes to the north of the UK and an active weather front moves south-eastwards during Thursday. As a result a spell of wet and very windy conditions are forecast for many northern and western areas on Thursday with a spell of heavy rain bringing locally 20mm to 30mm of rainfall in some places and with winds gusting up to 50mph to 60mph for a time. This may bring some travel disruption and difficult travelling conditions to parts of Scotland and Ireland during Thursday morning’s rush hour period. Ahead of the rain, across southern and south-eastern areas of England it will be drier and milder, but some rain and windy weather will arrive later in the day. By Friday many areas will see a mixture of sunshine and showers, these heaviest and most frequent across northern and western areas where they will turn increasingly wintry, especially above 250m to 300m across Ireland, Scotland and Northern England.

Colder Weather

The end of the week and the whole forth coming weekend will provide quite a change to conditions of late with temperatures slightly below average and the cold feel being accentuated by a moderate or fresh west or north-westerly wind. At the moment a mixture of sunshine and shows are expected for many areas into the weekend, but the showers will fall as hail, sleet and snow, especially above 250m to 300m where some accumulations of snow are possible across Scotland, Ireland and Northern England. However, even further south a dusting of snow is possible, especially by night. Overnight frosts and icy patches will be a risk too, so a late ‘taste’ of winter is on the way and with more details on Friday covering the weekend.

Matt Hugo, Meteorologist

Monday 17 March 10am

Increasingly unsettled – turning colder

Monday

The week begins generally where the weekend finished and that is with high pressure to the south and south-west of the UK maintaining predominantly settled weather. Thicker cloud with some patchy rain or drizzle remains possible across western areas of the UK, especially to the west of high ground, whilst to the east of high ground then bright or sunny spells are possible and these most prevalent, once again, across southern and south-eastern areas of England. A mild or very mild day is expected but temperatures lower than the weekend with highs today ranging between 14C and 18C, though much cooler in the cloudier north and west.

Tuesday & Wednesday

As we progress towards the middle of the week conditions will become increasingly unsettled for northern and western areas. Both Tuesday and Wednesday will bring a risk of showers or longer spells of rain to Scotland, Ireland and Northern England in particular with perhaps some heavy rain or showers at times. It is also likely to be quite windy with strong or perhaps near gale force winds at times. In contrast more southern areas, whilst cloudier than of late, are likely to maintain the dry conditions overall.

Thursday

Weather Map

Overnight Wednesday and into Thursday may provide a spell of very windy and very wet conditions for parts of Scotland and Northern England in particular as an active weather front moves across the region. Details remain uncertain at the moment, but a gale force or perhaps even severe gale force south-westerly wind is possible at the moment and with heavy rain. At the moment up to 40mm to 50mm of rainfall is possible across the areas highlighted on the associated graphic. As the rest of Thursday progresses the spell of wet and windy weather continues to move south with cooler and showery conditions following to the north and west

Friday

The end of the week is set to bring about a significant change in temperature as a much colder north-westerly wind develops. Outbreaks of rain, initially in the south-east are forecast to clear to then leave the majority of the UK seeing a mixture of sunshine and showers. The showers are expected to be heaviest and most frequent across Ireland, Scotland and Northern England. Sleet and snow is possible, especially above 250m to 300m at the moment, but sleet and hail to lower levels. Thursday night into Friday and then also Friday night is likely to produce frost and possible icy patches as well, so be prepared for a colder end to the week which, at the moment is expected to continue into next weekend.

Matt Hugo, Meteorologist

Friday 14 March 9am

Fine and settled

  • Remaining mainly fine and settled for most, especially across England and Wales.
  • Thicker cloud likely to bring some rain or drizzle to Scotland in particular over the weekend.
  • Bright or sunny spells continuing for southern and eastern areas of England especially this weekend.
  • Very mild or warm this weekend, despite a north-westerly wind, highest temperatures in the south-east.

Saturday and Sunday

The coming weekend will be dominated by further fine and settled conditions as high pressure maintains its influence on the weather over most areas. Some subtle differences are expected with more of a north-westerly wind developing this will bring thicker cloud to some northern and western areas and weak weather fronts are likely to pass close to Scotland at times and thus bringing the risk of some rain or drizzle here at times.

For most of England and Wales the weekend is set fair and despite the north-westerly wind it will be very mild. Early low cloud and mist patches are likely to soon clear with bright or sunny spells developing, especially across southern and eastern areas of England and to the lee of high ground in particular. In any sunshine both Saturday and Sunday will produce some particularly high temperatures for mid-March with highs ranging between 14C and 18C and perhaps a degree or two higher than this is possible. One advantage of the north-westerly wind is that it will aid to stop fog forming overnight as well.

Extended outlook -all change!

The fine and settled conditions of late have definitely been a welcomed respite from the relentless unsettled conditions over the winter. However, it is a case of ‘make the most’ as confidence is quite high to suggest that as next week progresses increasingly unsettled and cooler weather will return, perhaps actually turning quite cold across more northern areas with some wintry precipitation possible later in the week.

Matt Hugo, Meteorologist

Wednesday 12 March 9am

Continuing fine and settled

  • Remaining fine and settled for many areas throughout the rest of the week.
  • Feeling pleasant in the sunshine with afternoon temperatures generally near or slightly above average.
  • Some rain or showers developing across Scotland to end the week.
  • Risk of overnight fog patches which may be locally dense by morning.

Thursday and Friday

The rest of the week is set fair as high pressure continues to dominate the weather over the UK. Bright or sunny spells are expected by day, these prolonged at times and it will feel pleasant in the sunshine given light winds and temperatures generally ranging between 8C and 13C overall. By night it will continue to turn chilly beneath any clear skies with some frost possible, but ice is not an issue given the continued dry weather. One primary hazard though is fog. Some potentially thick and widespread fog may well develop tonight (Wednesday) and into Thursday morning across England and Wales leading to a potentially difficult morning rush hour period on Thursday.

By Friday in particular a more unsettled west or north-westerly wind is expected to develop across Scotland, as a result here the week is set to end with an increasing risk of some rain or showers at times and becoming windier as well.

Weekend preview

With the exception of parts of Scotland then the up-coming weekend is set fair, especially the further south and west you are. The dry weather is forecast to continue with some further bright or sunny spells, but perhaps with a little more cloud than of late. A moderate or fresh north-westerly wind is also forecast to develop. However, this will have little impact on the temperatures and the maximum temperatures are forecast to rise through the weekend with parts of England and Wales by Sunday afternoon having maximum temperatures ranging between 14C and 18C, so quite a warm weekend is currently expected.

Matt Hugo, Meteorologist

Monday 10 March 9am

A fine and settled week

  • Fine and settled for many areas this week with bright or sunny spells, these prolonged at times.
  • Thicker cloud may bring some patchy rain or showers to the far north and north-west of the UK at times.
  • Temperatures near or slightly above average and pleasant by day in the sunshine, but chilly by night with frost, especially in rural areas.

This week

After numerous weeks of low pressure bringing relentless unsettled conditions, the coming week will be dominated by high pressure. As a result the week ahead will often be fine and settled for many areas with little or no significant impacting weather across the UK.

Days will be dominated by bright, sunny spells with light winds as well then in the sunshine it will feel pleasant with temperatures ranging between 9C and 14C though perhaps a little cooler across the far north and north-west of Scotland at times.

Some overnight frost is possible, especially rurally but ice is not expected to be an issue given the dry conditions. Some mist and fog patches may develop so this is something to be aware of, but generally no widespread fog is to be expected this week. Temperatures by night are expected to range between 0C and 4C but are likely to fall a few degrees below freezing across rural areas at times.

Cloud may increase across most areas towards the end of the week as more of a north-westerly wind develops and this may increase the risk of some patchy rain or showers for Scotland. Otherwise a highly welcomed fine, settled and high pressure dominated week ahead is expected.

Matt Hugo, Meteorologist

Friday 07 March 9am

A mixed weekend ahead

  • Generally wet and windy across northern and western areas of the UK, especially across Scotland and Ireland on Saturday.
  • Mainly dry in the south throughout the weekend with bright or sunny spells.
  • Very mild if not warm in the south both on Saturday and Sunday with the warmest weather of the year so far expected.

Saturday

A general north and west, south and east split in conditions is expected on Saturday as a deep area of low pressure passes to the north-west of the UK. This is set to bring wet and rather windy conditions to Scotland and Ireland in particular with outbreaks of rain or drizzle at times through the day with some locally heavy rain across western areas of Scotland in particular. Here, rainfall totals up to 30mm to 40mm are possible by the end of Saturday. In contrast southern and eastern areas of the UK are expected to be dry with some bright or sunny spells, especially so across southern and south-eastern areas of England where it will be become very mild, if not warm for early March. Temperatures in the south of England may reach 14C to 16C on Saturday afternoon.

Sunday

Once again a distinct divide in conditions is expected across the country with cooler conditions and showers developing across Scotland and Ireland. Some of the showers may turn wintry across Scotland above 300m through the day. Through central areas of the UK a zone of cloudier conditions is expected across Northern England with some patchy rain or drizzle only very slowly moving south-east into more central areas of England. Ahead of this, across central and southern areas of England and Wales, another fine and bright day is expected with some sunny spells. A warm day is likely across urban areas of the south-east with highs ranging between 15C and 17C, perhaps somewhere reaching 18C. As a result Sunday is expected to be the warmest day of the year so far.

Next Week – High Pressure

It’s been a very long time coming after the exceptionally unsettled winter, but next week is set to provide a build of high pressure over the UK, rather than low pressure. As a result, confidence is high to suggest that next week will be dry throughout for a large portion of the UK with some bright or sunny spells by day, but with some chilly nights with rural frost and perhaps some fog patches in places; A welcomed break from the relentless unsettled conditions of the last few months.

Matt Hugo, Meteorologist

Thursday 6 March 2pm

Mac 4x4

AA Land Rover

Today sees the start of the annual Mac 4x4 challenge event in aid of Macmillan Cancer Support. We proudly provide breakdown cover to the event and it proves one of the highlights of the year for the crews involved.

  • The "Mac 4x4" is a "challenge" for 4x4 enthusiasts. It aims at testing a two person team in navigational, orienteering and observation skills, with on and off road sections.
  • You don't need a specialised vehicle to take part - any sensibly equipped 4x4 should be up to the event. Initially teams only know where they are starting from, the route being unfolded with the issue of road books as the event unfolds until the finish.
  • Having passed the £1/2million in 2009 the 2010 run set a new record of £123,000; that meant that the £120,000 raised in 2011 took the total over £3/4million and set a new target of £1,000,000, which we hope to achive with the 2014 run!!
  • Here at AA SORT we were introduced to the event by organiser Selwyn Kendrick through his role as the team's 4x4 instructor.
  • Our support teams will cover long hours fixing all manner of vehicle issues. On one ocassion even replacing a headgasket in a dark, wet, Irish layby!
  • This has lead to some Mac4x4 regulars to refer to the team by the affectionate term 'Spanner Gods'!
  • As an added bonus this year two crew members from AA SORT have entered into the main event. Look out for Benny and Al!

Ian, your man on Twitter @AASORT

Wednesday 05 March 9am

Remaining changeable

  • Wet and windy across northern and western areas to end the week, mild here then colder later
  • Often dry in the south, but with some rain possible later in the week
  • Very mild across many areas for a time, but turning colder across northern and western areas by Friday, but remaining mild in the south in comparison.

Wednesday

A general north and south split in conditions is expected today as increasingly cloudy and damp conditions develop across Scotland and later Ireland with outbreaks of rain or drizzle at times. These cloudy and damp conditions are forecast to move down into parts of Northern England later in the day, but overall for many areas of England and Wales after a chilly start the day is set fair with some bright or sunny spells and also quite mild.

Thursday and Friday

The rest of the week is generally set to maintain a north and south divide in conditions. Through Thursday and into Friday active weather fronts are set to bring mostly cloudy conditions with outbreaks of rain to many areas of Ireland, Scotland and Northern England. Across western and south-western areas of Scotland and also perhaps across parts of North West England up to 30mm to 40mm of rainfall is possible by late Thursday and overnight into Friday, but with perhaps locally higher totals.

Weather Map

The areas at greatest risk of the largest rainfall totals have been highlighted yellow on the associated graphic and here some localised flooding may occur. Further south, and in contrast, many central and southern areas of England are set fair on Thursday with very mild temperatures and some brighter conditions. Temperatures may well reach highs of 14C or 15C in the south, potentially making Thursday the warmest day of the year so far.

Into Friday and some rain or drizzle is possible across southern areas for a time, so a cloudier day is expected here and it will be cooler than on Thursday. Further north and west and a much cooler, if not colder day is expected with a mixture of sunshine and showers to end the week. The showers perhaps locally heavy and they may also be wintry across the hills of Scotland in particular and a chilly night is then expected to follow across the north with a frost and perhaps some icy patches on Friday night.

Matt Hugo, Meteorologist

Monday 03 March 10am

Mixed week ahead

  • Unsettled at times, especially in the north and west later in the week.
  • Drier and brighter intervals also expected, especially across central and southern areas.
  • Temperatures starting quite cold with a risk of overnight frost and ice, but generally becoming milder later in the week.

Monday and Tuesday

The week is expected to start off quite mixed; showers are forecast to be most frequent and heaviest across parts of the south and south-west on Monday, whilst more persistent rain may affect parts of the north and east of the UK. In-between for many areas of Northern England and the Midlands, for example, a mainly dry day is expected with bright or sunny spells after a chilly start. Light winds and some clear skies overnight on Monday and into Tuesday will once again bring a risk of overnight frost and icy patches, especially across parts of England and Wales. Further north and west cloudier conditions with some showery outbreaks of rain are expected overnight and these perhaps wintry above 300m. Into Tuesday and with the exception of Scotland where further showers are likely, many areas of the UK will be predominantly dry with bright or sunny spells. Cloud thickening from the south-west may bring rain into the far south-west late in the day.

Wednesday

Around mid-week conditions are currently set fair across many southern areas of the UK with some bright or sunny spells after a possible chilly start with some mist and fog patches. Further north and west it is likely to become generally cloudy through the day with an increasing risk of showers or longer spells of rain, along with a strengthening wind.

Thursday and Friday

The end of the week has some uncertainty surrounding it at the moment, due to variations in the weather models. A general north and south split in conditions is preferred with many northern areas of the UK, including Ireland, Scotland and Northern England at risk of further rain or showers and quite strong winds at times. Some of the rain may be heavy and after being briefly milder on Thursday it may well turn colder into Friday across more northern areas. Further south conditions are set fair, some patchy rain or drizzle may develop for a time later on Thursday and into Friday, but compared with further north the weather is expected to be drier, brighter and generally mild, with temperatures perhaps up to 12C or 13C across parts of the south-east.

Matt Hugo, Meteorologist

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