Unsettled and turning colder
Mid-week is expected to be another warm day for many areas, with the exception of Central and Northern Scotland where it will be much cooler, if not colder than of late. The emphasis through the day is for some heavy and thundery showers to develop across N England and S Scotland today rather than further south and the areas at greatest risk have been highlighted on the associated graphic. Some torrential downpours are possible, with perhaps some localised flooding in places. Away from this more active area of weather some patchy rain is expected for southern and western areas, whilst some rain or showers are likely for Scotland too.
During the course of Thursday showers and longer spells of rain are expected to gradually progress southwards through the day. As a result for many areas it is expected to be mostly cloudy and quite wet. Some heavy showers and possible thunderstorms remain a risk for central and southern areas of England, but with more prolonged spells of rain for parts of Scotland, Northern England and Midlands. Behind this clearer and colder conditions are expected to develop across Scotland with some wintry precipitation possible before the rain clears away to the south, especially above 300-350m where some sleet and snow may well develop for a time.
By the end of the week high pressure rapidly develops and this will bring more settled conditions. Some overnight rain may well be slow to clear some southern and south-eastern areas of England, but for many a dry day is expected after a chilly start. Bright or sunny spells are likely but despite this it will feel markedly cooler, if not colder than the majority of the week. Also for rural areas from the Midlands northwards Friday night into Saturday will produce a particularly cold night for early May with temperatures near or perhaps sub zero with frost by Saturday morning.
Heavy, slow moving, thundery downpours remain the primary cause for concern in the short term, initially across S Scotland and N England today, but transferring further south into Thursday. Localised, temporary flooding is possible from these showers which will produce some large rainfall totals in a short space of time. Another warm day today (Wednesday) with highs 16C to 18C typically, but becoming much cooler from the north to end the week and by Friday highs ranging between 10C and 14C at most, locally lower in the north.
Matt Hugo, Meteorologist
Unsettled week ahead
The week starts with a mixture of sunshine and showers, particularly so for England and Wales. The showers are likely to become heavy during Monday and Tuesday afternoon with localised downpours and thunderstorms. The main areas at risk of seeing the heaviest showers and possible thunderstorms on both days have been highlighted on the associated graphic. As is usually the case, the showers will be ‘hit and miss’ so some areas will remain dry, but locally some large rainfall totals are possible. For N England, Scotland and Ireland with exception of some patchy rain or a few showers, it is expected to be mainly dry and bright start to the week.
Around mid-week and low pressure becomes dominant across all areas of the UK. This will, as a result, bring a more widespread risk of rain or showers across many areas. At the moment though it is likely to be England and Wales that sees the heaviest of the rainfall and once again some localised downpours or thunderstorms seem possible, especially so on Thursday. Of importance to, is that during Thursday clearer and colder conditions will move down from the north into Scotland and this change will herald a risk of some wintry showers across high ground of Scotland by the end of Thursday.
At the moment the week is expected to end mainly dry and bright, if not sunny for many areas. The outbreaks of rain on Thursday may well be lingering across some southern areas at first, but this will then soon clear. Many areas are then set fair, but with perhaps a few isolated showers across E Scotland and E England. Noticeably despite the sunshine it will feel quite cold, especially so for early May and quite a potent overnight frost is then expected on Friday night and into Saturday, something to be aware of so late in the season.
Locally there is a risk of some significant rainfall totals across parts of England and Wales this week, primarily due to localised heavy and thundery downpours. Some areas may well see over 20mm of rainfall on Monday and Tuesday combined and with additional rainfall around mid-week then up to 30mm to 40mm is possible in one or two places. Some localised flooding is possible, again particularly locally and across the areas highlighted on the graphic for Monday and Tuesday.
Quite a contrast in temperatures is expected this week with the start of the week providing highs ranging between 14C and 18C, gradually turning cooler by mid-week and then by the end of the week highs ranging between just 8C and 12C generally, though perhaps a few degrees higher in the south. Overnight temperatures late in the week may well drop to freezing, especially rurally on Friday night.
Matt Hugo, Meteorologist
Unsettled with risk of heavy rain
For many areas of England and parts of Wales, it is an unsettled day as outbreaks of rain and showers develop from the south and generally move northwards across a large area, as highlighted on the associated graphic. Heavy showers and longer spells of heavy rain are possible over quite a wide area stretching from S England, into the Midlands, up to N England and eventually into S Scotland later today. Embedded within this broader area of heavy rain and showers will be some particularly potent downpours and possible thunderstorms which will bring some hazardous weather on a local scale. The areas highlighted are likely to see a general 10mm to 20mm of rainfall through Friday, but locally then up to 20mm to 30mm isn’t out of the question and a lot of this falling in quite a short space of time, particularly in association with any thunderstorm activity. Some localised flooding is possible and with some hazardous travelling conditions at times.
The coming weekend will generally be dominated by low pressure of which will be situated over SW England. As a result a predominantly unsettled weekend is expected with outbreaks of rain or showers spreading northwards across the country at times. In-between the showers and more persistent rain some drier and brighter intervals will develop. However, emphasis is most certainly on a weekend that will be affected by further heavy showers, longer spells of rain and some possible thunderstorms. At the moment it is parts of Wales and SW England, along with E and SE Scotland that is at greatest risk of seeing the largest rainfall totals. The regions highlighted on the associated graphic may experience up to 20mm to 30mm over the weekend and will combine with Friday’s wet weather to produce possible local and regional rainfall totals over 40mm to 50mm. Some localised flooding is possible in places, particularly across the highlighted areas. Some strong winds are possible as well across SW England and Wales in particular with possible gales around coasts and hills for a time into Saturday.
Temperatures this weekend will be generally near to average with highs ranging between 13C and 17C generally. The highest temperatures are expected to occur during any drier and brighter intervals when it will feel pleasant. However, beneath any persistent rain or showers then it will be cooler and temperatures will generally be lower across parts of E Scotland and E England given an onshore wind off the North Sea.
Matt Hugo, Meteorologist
An unsettled day is expected today as a more organised area of rain moves north and east across the UK. Heavy rain is expected across Ireland, Wales and SW England for a time, before the rain gradually becomes lighter and patchier. Ahead of this area of persistent rain will be a mixture of sunshine and showers for more northern and eastern areas of the UK including; Scotland, N England, Midlands and E England. Some of these showers may be heavy at times this afternoon. More organised rain will re-develop this evening and overnight across England and Wales and will then move north and east into Scotland and E England with time. Following on behind will be clearer skies and some locally dense fog patches are possible across SW England and Wales overnight.
A potentially foggy start for parts of Wales and SW England and this is something to be aware of, but this will soon clear during the morning period. Elsewhere it’s a dry start with some bright or sunny spells, but cloudier conditions with patchy rain may well be lingering across E Scotland and NE England. As Thursday progresses showers are forecast to develop and these may become heavy and perhaps thundery during the afternoon. As is often the case the showers will be ‘hit and miss’ and not everywhere will see them, but locally some downpours are possible.
Into Friday and the week is set to end generally unsettled as low pressure dominates. Showers or longer spells of rain are possible nationwide, some of which will be heavy, especially across more southern and south-western areas of England and Wales and also potentially across E Scotland and E England too. Some brighter spells are possible across W Scotland, but generally a cloudy and damp day for many areas with sporadic spells of rain or showers for many areas.
Some locally large rainfall totals are possible in places through the rest of the week given a combination of more persistent rain and some heavy and perhaps thundery downpours. It is difficult to pinpoint any specific area, as the risk is particularly localised and generalized, but parts of England and Wales may see in excess of 15mm to 25mm of rain between Wednesday and Friday with perhaps locally higher totals. Some temporary localised surface flooding is possible especially in association with any heavy showers or thunderstorms. Temperatures through the rest of the week will generally be near average with highs ranging between 13C and 17C, but it will be locally cooler beneath any persistent rain, but conversely it will feel pleasant in any sunshine.
Matt Hugo, Meteorologist
An unsettled week ahead
Mainly dry for many areas of Ireland and Scotland today with bright or sunny spells and feeling warm. Despite some sunshine across England and Wales, with warm conditions here as well some scattered heavy and perhaps thundery showers are possible in places. These will be hit and miss, but could locally bring some torrential downpours in places, with a risk of thunder. The main areas at risk through Monday afternoon are; Wales, Midlands, Southern England and across to parts of South-east England.
Low pressure is expected to be dominant through Tuesday and bring a mixture of sunshine and showers or longer spells of rain. Once again some of the showers could be heavy with a risk of thunder during the afternoon period, particularly so through central areas of England and Wales where some thunderstorms are possible locally. Where these occur then some large rainfall totals are possible along with a risk of hail and lightning. For Scotland and Ireland drier and brighter weather is expected here, but with some rain or showers too and feeling chilly across eastern Scotland and north-east England given an on-shore wind off the North Sea.
The theme from the middle of the week onwards is for unsettled conditions to dominate. A more organised area of showers or longer spells of rain is expected to move north and eastwards on Wednesday with perhaps some locally heavy precipitation in places. Into Thursday and rain and drizzle may linger across parts of Scotland and north-east England, whilst elsewhere it’s back to a mixture of sunshine and showers, these perhaps heavy and thundery across England and Wales. Uncertainty over the details is evident for Friday but a general continuation of the unsettled theme is currently expected.
The primary risk of severe weather this week comes from the local and regional development of heavy showers and thunderstorms. Where these occur then some torrential downpours are possible, with localised temporary surface flooding. Hail and lightning are possible too. At the moment Monday, Tuesday and Thursday are the days at main risk and the primary risk will be across inland areas of England and Wales. Temperatures are forecast to be near average, though starting slightly above average early in the week with temperatures up to 18C to 20C in places on Monday. Generally though, maximum temperatures will range between 13C and 16C.
Matt Hugo, Meteorologist
Turning increasingly unsettled
High pressure is expected to dominate the weather across many areas of the UK during today (Good Friday) and into Saturday. As a result this will bring fine and settled conditions to many areas of the UK after a chilly start with plenty of sunshine, particularly for England and Wales. It will feel pleasantly warm in the sunshine this afternoon given light winds. Overnight tonight into Saturday it will turn chilly beneath clear skies and light winds and some local mist and fog patches are possible along with rural frost. This then leads into another mainly dry day for many on Saturday with bright or sunny spells, but with generally more cloud overall than compared with Friday.
A marked change to more unsettled conditions is expected during Easter Sunday and into Monday, particularly so across England and Wales. Lower pressure is set to bring showers or longer spells of rain into England and Wales from the south-east during Easter Sunday, some of which could be heavy with some locally large rainfall totals. It will also be quite windy too with a fresh or strong east or north-easterly wind and this will create a much cooler, if not rather chilly feel compared with the previous days. For Scotland it is likely to remain mainly dry on Sunday with bright or sunny spells. The generally unsettled weather is then set to continue into Easter Monday for many areas of the UK, but particularly so across England, Wales and Ireland when further showers or spells of rain is possible.
The development of increasingly unsettled conditions during Sunday and into Monday will bring some heavy rain to parts of England and Wales, but especially so across more southern counties. Up to 20mm to 30mm is possible and perhaps with locally higher totals in places. Some poor driving and travelling conditions are possible at times. Temperatures this weekend generally ranging between 10C and 15C, feeling particularly pleasant in the sunshine on Friday and Saturday, but equally feeling much cooler beneath the wind and rain by Sunday and Monday.
Matt Hugo, Meteorologist
Cooler and cloudier
Another fine and dry day for many areas of England and Wales today with plenty of prolonged spells of sunshine expected. With light winds combining with the sunshine it will be another pleasantly warm day with temperatures slightly above average. Generally cloudier and cooler for Ireland and Scotland today however with the risk of some rain or showers developing here, particularly so across northern and western areas of Scotland this afternoon.
A cloudier and cooler day is expected on Thursday for many areas than compared with the first half of the week. Showers and perhaps some longer spells of rain are possible across Ireland, Scotland and Northern England at times, but no heavy or widespread rainfall is to be expected. Despite being mainly dry for more central and southern areas of England it will be cloudier here than compared with previous day’s, despite some bright or sunny spells at times. A much cooler ‘feel’ is expected for all areas of the British Isles primarily due to a moderate or locally fresh north-westerly wind.
At the moment fine and settled conditions, for most, will continue into Saturday with some spells of sunshine at times. However, despite uncertainties there is a clear trend towards more unsettled conditions developing during Easter Sunday and Easter Monday, particularly so across England and Wales with a risk of showers or longer spells of rain develop, some of which may be heavy. As a result the best of the weather this Easter holiday is likely to be on Good Friday and into Saturday.
No severe weather is expected in the coming days. Temperatures are expected to reach 14C to 18C generally today (Wednesday) but markedly cooler by Thursday and Friday with highs generally 10C to 15C. Still quite chilly by night beneath any clear skies when rural ground frost is possible and lows fall to between 1C or 3C, but generally a few degrees higher than this in more urban areas.
Matt Hugo, Meteorologist
Often fine and settled
The opening few days of the week will be dominated by high pressure and this will bring fine and settled conditions across the whole British Isles. As a result both days will experience bright or sunny spells at times, these prolonged across England and Wales. By night clear skies will lead to rather chilly conditions, especially rurally with a touch of frost possible along with localised mist and fog patches, but these soon clear after dawn. With light winds and plenty of sunshine it will feel pleasantly warm, especially across more urban areas of England and Wales.
Around mid-week there is expected to be a greater risk of some patchy rain or showers developing across Scotland and Ireland in particular and also perhaps into N England too. As a result a cloudier and cooler couple of days is likely across these areas, but still with some bright or sunny spells and no extensive, persistent or heavy rainfall is to be expected. For many central and southern areas of England and Wales the fine, dry and settled weather will continue.
At the moment high pressure is set to return to many areas to end the week and this will bring a renewed spell of fine and settled conditions across many areas. Variable amounts of cloud are expected, so it won’t be bright or sunny all the time, but it will be dry across many areas. Potentially rather chilly again by night to end the week as winds become light once again with perhaps some patchy mist and fog too.
No severe weather is expected this week. Temperatures are forecast to be around average with highs ranging between 10C and 15C generally. Urban areas of the south and south-east of England may see temperatures up to 17C to 19C on Tuesday and Wednesday, but this will be a more local exception. By night lows ranging between 2C and 5C are possible, but once again more urban areas are likely to be somewhat milder. Feeling cool across the north mid-week given cloudier and windier conditions, but equally many areas will feel pleasantly warm at times this week in light winds and the sunshine by day.
Matt Hugo, Meteorologist
A mixed weekend
For England and Wales and particularly central and southern areas of England then a dry day is expected with some bright or sunny spells, despite cloud increasing during the afternoon. For Northern England after a dry start to the day it is expected to become cloudier for at time during the afternoon with some patchy rain or drizzle, especially to the west of the Pennines, but this then clearing towards the late afternoon with some evening sunshine. For Scotland and Ireland early rain clearing south, then a mixture of sunshine and showers and feeling cool here given a moderate or fresh west or north-westerly wind.
Across Scotland, Ireland and later Northern England Sunday is expected to become increasingly unsettled. Showers or longer spells of rain across Scotland to start the day are expected to move south-eastwards into Ireland and Northern England, but the rain generally becoming more fragmented and lighter than is expected across Scotland. For central and southern England and Wales Sunday is set fair with bright or sunny spells despite some variable amounts of cloud at times.
Risk of some heavy rain across Scotland, but nothing of any concern and quite windy here as well. Otherwise no severe weather is expected this weekend. Temperatures generally near to average and feeling pleasant in any sunshine across England and Wales but conversely it is likely to feel quite cool or cold further north and west in the more unsettled conditions and stronger winds. Highs are expected to range between 8C and 12C, though locally 13C or 14C in the south. Rural frost is possible, but this is generally a low risk.
Matt Hugo, Meteorologist
The week is forecast to end predominantly settled across most of England and Wales as high pressure initially to the south re-develops and builds into England and Wales by Friday. A weather front is expected to bring thicker cloud to more northern areas of the UK including Scotland and Ireland through Thursday with some rain and showers slowly moving south-eastwards. These cloudier conditions are likely to move into more northern areas of England during Thursday afternoon and evening but with the precipitation by this time generally becoming particularly weak and fragmented. Ahead of this for central and southern areas of England and Wales it is a fine and settled day.
Friday, for many, is dry after a chilly start with plenty of prolonged spells of sunshine. Few showers possible in the far north and perhaps the far south-east, but a fine end to the week and this is then followed by a chilly night on Friday night. The coming weekend remains mainly settled for most of England and Wales, but as with the end of this week Scotland and Ireland may be more unsettled at times, especially on Saturday and with some rain or showers moving south-eastwards into Northern England but weakening as it does so.
No severe weather is currently expected during the remainder of this week. Temperatures are forecast to range between 10C and 14C generally which is near to average though a few degrees cooler at times across Northern England, Scotland and Ireland given that more unsettled conditions are likely here with less in the way of sunshine than further south. Chilly nights possible, with rural frost and rurally temperatures may fall to 1C or 2C on Thursday night across the north and then more widely on Friday night.
Matt Hugo, Meteorologist
Wet start then often dry and bright
A particularly unsettled start to the week is expected for England and Wales and most probably into S Scotland as well. A developing area of low pressure crossing parts of the UK will bring a persistent risk of rain and showers to England and Wales throughout the day with many areas seeing up to 10mm to 15mm of rainfall. However, there is scope for up to and over 20mm of rainfall in places along with the risk of some heavy and perhaps thundery downpours across more eastern areas of England this afternoon. For most of Scotland and Ireland it is a simple mixture of sunshine and showers, but these perhaps heavy and thundery.
An improving picture as we move towards mid-week with more settled conditions developing for England and Wales and with the exception of a few scattered showers both Tuesday and Wednesday will be dry with some bright or sunny spells after rather chilly starts. Further north and west, across Scotland and Ireland, there is likely to be a greater risk of some rain or showers at times, particularly for central and northern Scotland where it is also likely to be quite windy.
We end the week at the moment with a risk of further showers for parts of England and Wales, but otherwise a lot of fine and dry weather is to be expected. For Scotland and Ireland a greater risk of rain or showers exists and particularly so by Friday when some wet and windy weather is likely to move in off the Atlantic at the moment. Some chilly nights are possible later in the week at times with a risk of rural frost in places, especially for the Midlands northwards.
Heavy rainfall and showers on Monday bringing a risk of some poor driving and travelling conditions with a lot of surface water and spray. Some torrential downpours possible across eastern areas of England (Yorkshire, Lincolnshire, E Midlands) this afternoon and evening with a risk of thunder and some thundery showers are possible across Scotland and Ireland today as well. Otherwise no significant or severe weather is expected after Monday. Temperatures this week are expected to be cooler than of late with highs ranging between 10C and 15C generally, the highest temperatures most likely on Monday. By night it will also be cooler as well with lows ranging between 2C and 5C overall, though a few degrees higher in towns and cities. Some patchy frost is possible at times beneath any clear skies through the week.
Matt Hugo, Meteorologist
An unsettled but mild weekend ahead
The coming weekend will be dominated by low pressure and this will bring unsettled conditions to many areas of the UK. Despite a possible dry start for some northern and eastern areas first thing on Saturday cloudy conditions with outbreaks of rain and drizzle across many western and south-western areas of the UK will spread northwards through the day with all areas of the UK at risk of some precipitation, but this heaviest across Scotland. Extensive low cloud and hill fog is expected to develop, so this is something to be aware of if traveling across higher level routes in particular.
Further spells of rain and showers will move north and eastwards across many areas overnight on Saturday and throughout Sunday. Some heavy rainfall is possible across western hills of Scotland, Northern England and Wales in particular with perhaps over 30mm possible in places. A clearance to somewhat brighter and more showery conditions is expected to develop across Ireland during Sunday afternoon, but for many areas a wet and breezy day is to be expected on Sunday and with limited brightness as well.
The areas at greatest risk of over 30mm of rainfall this weekend have been highlighted on the associated graphic and there is a low risk of perhaps some localised flooding in these areas, especially more prone areas;
Rainfall totals up to and over 30mm possible over the weekend across the highlighted areas is the main potential severe weather with perhaps a low risk of some localised flooding. Low cloud and hill fog may bring poor visibility at higher altitudes; otherwise no severe weather is expected. Temperatures remaining mild or very mild with highs ranging between 12C and 16C generally, though perhaps a degree or two higher in urban areas of the south-east, but equally perhaps a degree or two lower across more northern and western areas and across those areas that are likely to see the heaviest rainfall.
Matt Hugo, Meteorologist
An unsettled day is expected for many western and south-western areas of the UK with a risk of rain or showers at times. Some of the showers may be heavy and perhaps with local thunder, but some drier intervals are possible in-between. Further north and east, especially across northern and eastern Scotland and eastern England then it is expected to be mainly dry with some bright or sunny spells, but low cloud and sea fog will continue to be a threat across coastal areas of eastern England and south-east Scotland.
Low pressure becomes dominant to end the week and this will bring a more widespread risk of rain or showers to many areas. Showers or longer spells of rain are expected to develop across southern areas of the UK early on Thursday and gradually move north-wards through the day. Some heavy and perhaps thundery downpours are possible at times across parts of Central areas of England and Wales through Thursday afternoon, before more persistent rain spreads northwards. Into Friday and residual rain across northern and eastern areas of the UK clears and then many areas see a mixture of sunshine and showers and feeling cooler than most of the week. Areas at risk of the heaviest rain on Thursday in particularly have been highlighted on the associated graphic;
Risk of up to 20mm to 30mm of rain across parts of Central areas of England, Wales, parts of SW England and also E Ireland on Thursday, but details are uncertain. Where any localised downpours/thunderstorms develop during Thursday afternoon then locally totals may exceed the above values with some localised flooding possible. Temperatures varying significantly to end the week given some warmer, brighter intervals in places, but cooler beneath any wet weather. However, maximum temperatures generally ranging between 13ºC and 16ºC, though few degrees higher at times in places and equally few degrees cooler beneath any persistent rain.
Matt Hugo, Meteorologist
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