Specialist breakdown rescue

Our special operations team, helping you in severe weather

Keep track of major weather incidents affecting roads around the UK, with the help of our 'storm-chasing' Special Operations Response Team (AA SORT for short). Our SORT team supports the AA's regular patrol force and is sent out during bouts of severe weather – usually situations involving floods, snow, ice and mud.

The team has had rigorous rescue training and often works alongside the local police, fire and rescue services, Mountain Rescue, and the Highways Agency, among others. This is the place to find out what they're up to.

We've also teamed up with expert meteorologist Matthew Hugo, BSc, FRMetS, RMet, who has more than seven years of forecasting experience, including winter hazard forecasting, to make sure you have useful information when you need it. Check our severe weather page for Met Office warnings.

Read our latest blog posts

Monday 2nd 10am

Cold and wintry start, milder later

  • A distinctly cold and wintry start to the week with sleet and snow in places
  • Risk of some significant snow across higher ground of Scotland, N Ireland and N England
  • Frost and ice a risk in places throughout the first half of the week
  • Generally becoming dry across many areas by Wednesday but with continued risk of frost
  • Becoming much milder across all areas to end the week as a SW’ly wind develops
  • Often dry for England and Wales to end the week, but with rain and showers in Scotland and Ireland

Monday and Tuesday

A particularly cold W or NW’ly air mass will dominate through the early part of the week, bringing a mixture of sunshine and showers to many areas. Across Scotland, Ireland and N England some significant snow accumulations are possible above 200m, particularly so later today and overnight into Tuesday. More southern and eastern areas of England whilst at risk of some wintry showers are likely to be mainly dry with some bright or sunny spells. Widespread risk of frost and icy conditions are expected by night and there’ll be a significant wind-chill factor too.

Wednesday

A scattering of wintry showers are forecast to continue, at least at first, across parts of Scotland and N England but into Wednesday afternoon many areas will become dry with bright or sunny spells. With clear skies and increasingly light winds to end the day then Wednesday night is likely to be the coldest night of the week with a widespread frost.

Thursday and Friday

A change too much milder conditions is expected to end the week as a change in wind direction occurs. Scotland and Ireland will be at risk of some rain or showers at times, some of which could be heavy and it will become windy here again with a fresh or strong SW’ly wind. For most of England and Wales it is a dry end to the week as high pressure dominates and despite variable amounts of cloud there will be some bright or sunny spells and feeling markedly milder in the sunshine than compared with the first half of the week.

Potential severe weather and temperatures

  • Snow across higher ground of Scotland, Ireland and N England providing a risk of severe and potentially disruptive weather to start the week
  • Widespread frost and icy conditions also potentially bringing some poor driving conditions especially on a local and regional scale
  • Some heavy rain for Scotland to end the week, otherwise no severe weather is likely after mid-week

Temperatures will be below average to start the week with highs of 2-9C generally. There will be a significant wind-chill factor across the northern half of the UK too with it ‘feeling’ sub-zero both on Monday and Tuesday. Widespread frost and icy conditions are possible through to Wednesday with temperatures by night falling near to, or below freezing. Temperatures will recover to end the week and compared with Monday and Tuesday it will feel much milder with highs, on Thursday and Friday of 7-11C.

Matt Hugo, Meteorologist

Wednesday 25th 10am

Cold and showery

  • Briefly milder mid-week but becoming colder and showery to end the week
  • Risk of some heavy showers on Thursday in particular and these wintry on higher ground in the north
  • Heavy rain across SE England not clearing on Thursday until the afternoon
  • Mainly dry for England and Wales on Friday with some sunshine and isolated showers
  • Showers continuing across more northern areas of the UK though on Friday

Thursday

Overcast across central and southern areas of England on Thursday morning with outbreaks of rain moving steadily south-east and not clearing SE England until the early afternoon. Following behind will be quite a marked drop in temperatures but with a mixture of sunshine and showers. The showers are expected to be most frequent across Scotland and Ireland where they will be wintry on higher ground. Most of central and southern areas of England will have a mainly dry end to the day.

Friday

A chilly start to Friday with some frost and icy patches in places. Showers will continue across parts of Scotland, Ireland and N England and these still wintry on higher ground. For the remainder of England and Wales most of Friday is set fair with bright or sunny spells. It is expected to be turn cloudier across Ireland later in the day with some rain and showers and these then moving eastwards into parts of Wales and SW England late in the day and into the overnight period.

Early weekend outlook

Generally continuing unsettled at the moment with some rain and showers moving eastwards across many areas during Saturday and this then being followed by a more significant spell of wet and windy weather across most areas during Sunday.

Potential severe weather and temperatures

  • Wintry showers across higher ground of the north during Thursday in particular potentially bringing some snow accumulations and local travel disruption across higher level routes of Scotland in particular
  • Wet weather moving south-east across England and Wales on Thursday morning leading to poor driving conditions for the Thursday morning rush hour period with excessive surface water and spray.

Briefly milder mid-week (Wednesday) but quickly turn colder from the north-west during Thursday with max temperatures on Thursday and of 3-8C with a significant wind-chill factor returning. A frost is possible on Thursday night into Friday morning in places with perhaps some icy patches too.

Matt Hugo, Meteorologist

Monday 23rd 10am

Often unsettled and cold

  • Rather cold week ahead, especially early and late in the week but milder mid-week
  • Conditions generally unsettled with spells of rain and showers developing at times
  • Risk of wintry precipitation across Scotland, Ireland and N England early in the week in particular
  • Risk of some snow accumulations too across higher ground of the north
  • Milder for all during Wednesday as wet and windy weather spreads eastwards
  • Potentially drier end to the week for England and Wales but wet and windy weather returning by next weekend

Monday and Tuesday

A rather cold W or NW’ly wind will dominate over the course of Monday and Tuesday bringing a mixture of sunshine and showers. The showers are likely to be most frequent across Scotland, Ireland and N England and above 250m to 300m in particular then showers will be wintry with sleet and snow likely and with some accumulations too. Some heavy showers are also likely across Wales and SW England today (Monday) with hail and sleet to lower levels, some of the showers may also be thundery too. The best of any drier and brighter conditions will be across more eastern areas of England and into E Anglia where sunny spells are likely at times.

Wednesday

A change to milder conditions is expected through Wednesday as a SW’ly wind develops through the day. A potentially chilly but mainly dry start to the day is expected for most areas but outbreaks of rain and drizzle across Ireland will spread eastwards throughout the day and with many areas ending the day overcast and damp and with much higher temperatures than earlier in the week. Some significant rainfall totals are possible across Scotland, when coupled with snow-melt may well lead to a risk of some localised flooding.

Thursday and Friday

The week is currently forecast to end as it began with weather fronts and wet weather across SE England early on Thursday clearing away and then many areas of the UK will see a mixture of sunshine and showers. The showers are expected to be heavy and wintry across higher ground of the north and west of the UK. It will feel colder once again in a NW’ly wind. By Friday a ridge of high pressure may well signal a mainly dry day across England and Wales with some bright or sunny spells, but further showers are likely across Scotland and Ireland ahead of wet and windy weather developing from the west later in the day.

Potential severe weather and temperatures

  • Sleet and snow bringing a risk of poor driving conditions and some travel disruption across higher ground of Scotland, N Ireland and N England on Monday and Tuesday
  • Risk of heavy rain combining with snow-melt on Wednesday across Scotland in particular perhaps bringing a risk of some large rainfall totals and a subsequent risk of localized flooding

Temperatures ranging 3-7C generally on Monday and Tuesday and with a significant wind-chill factor expected. Milder conditions are then expected by Wednesday with the maximum temperatures of 8-12C. Colder weather returns later in the week with highs of 4-8C. Frost is possible at times, both early and late in the week, but the strong winds coupled with generally unsettled conditions will prohibit any significant or widespread frosts this week and in contrast Wednesday night into Thursday will be a particularly mild night.

Matt Hugo, Meteorologist

Friday 20th 11am

Cold and showery then wet and windy

  • A rather cold weekend ahead with a mixture of sunshine and showers on Saturday, these wintry at times
  • A cold and dry start to Sunday but soon becoming wet and windy from the west
  • Risk of some significant snow across high ground of the Pennines northwards on Sunday
  • A spell of wet and windy weather will move eastwards across all areas on Sunday afternoon and evening
  • A cold night on Saturday night with a widespread frost and icy patches

Saturday

A rather cold NW’ly wind will dominate during Saturday bringing a scattering of showers to parts of Scotland, Ireland, N England and Wales and the showers will be wintry at times. Rain, hail and sleet is possible to lower levels, but above around 200m to 250m then some snow is possible and with accumulations across higher ground of Scotland in particular. For many southern and eastern areas of the UK it will be a mainly dry day with some bright or sunny spells and variable amounts of cloud. The showers further north and west will begin ease by evening and this then leading to a cold night nationwide with a risk of frost and icy patches.

Sunday

It’s a cold start to Sunday with frost and icy patches, especially away from western areas of the UK. A deep area of low pressure, along with its associated weather fronts, will sweep eastwards across all areas of the UK through the day. As the weather fronts encounter the cold air over the UK then rain will turn readily to sleet and snow across higher ground from the Pennines northwards with several centimeters of snow possible and especially so across inland areas of Scotland. The snow may well turn back to rain for a time during the afternoon as all areas of the UK experience a wet and windy afternoon and evening with winds gusting up to 40mph to 50mph quite widely.

Potential severe weather and temperatures

  • Wintry showers across the north and west on Saturday bringing the risk of some localized poor driving conditions
  • Widespread frost and icy patches on Saturday evening and overnight into Sunday bringing a risk of poor driving conditions and perhaps some travel disruption
  • Wet and windy weather spreading eastwards on Sunday will bring a widespread risk of poor driving conditions due to surface water and spray
  • The threat of snow across higher ground of the northern half of the UK is likely to lead to some travel disruption, at least for a time, across higher level routes in particular.

A cold weekend overall with highs on Saturday ranging 4-8C, but struggling to just 2-3C across higher ground of Scotland and Ireland. Widespread frost on Saturday night into Sunday with lows down to -2C, but temperatures recovering across Ireland and some other western areas of the UK by Sunday morning as the wet and windy weather arrives. Into Sunday and maximum temperatures across Scotland and N England of 2-5C, but generally milder across Wales, Ireland and the rest of England with highs up to 4C to 9C for a time during the afternoon but with a significant wind-chill factor through the day for all areas.

Matt Hugo, Meteorologist

Wednesday 18th 10am

Increasingly unsettled

  • After a dry few days it will become increasingly unsettled nationwide with all areas seeing some rain
  • After a mild day today (Wednesday) it will turn colder across most areas with a chilly end to the week
  • Risk of some heavy rain moving across parts of England and Wales on Friday
  • Wintry showers becoming an increasing risk across the northern half of the UK to end the week
  • Increasing risk of frost and icy conditions once again to end the week too

Wednesday

Overcast conditions are expected across Scotland and Ireland with outbreaks of rain and drizzle becoming increasingly extensive through the day, especially across W and SW Scotland and W Ireland. Some large rainfall totals are possible and will combine with mountain snowmelt across Scotland to bring a risk of some localised flooding. To the east of high ground, over NE Scotland, it will be mainly dry and particularly mild however. For most of England and Wales it is a dry day but with increasing amounts of cloud, but with some bright weather in the south-east.

Thursday

Outbreaks of rain, some heavy, are expected to move south-eastwards across all areas of the UK during the day bringing some significant rainfall in places. Following on behind, across Scotland and Ireland, will be a mixture of sunshine and showers through the afternoon and these conditions filtering into N England to end the day. The showers will turn increasingly wintry across Scottish hills in particular during the afternoon and evening onwards and with a chilly night ahead across the northern half of the UK.

Friday

Some uncertainties over the details but a general north and south split in conditions is expected during Friday with outbreaks of rain, some heavy, moving across more central and southern areas of England and Wales bringing some poor driving conditions. In contrast across Scotland, Ireland and perhaps N England it will be generally colder, brighter but showery with some of the showers wintry on hills. Another chilly night is likely to follow with frost and icy conditions possible.

Potential severe weather and temperatures

  • A general increase in unsettled conditions will bring some heavy rain to England and Wales on Thursday and Friday with some poor driving conditions due to excessive surface water and spray
  • Increasing risk of frost and icy conditions across the northern half of the UK from Thursday night onwards

Mild or very mild weather is expected today (Wednesday) with temperatures generally 8C to 11C. However, across NE Scotland, to the east of the Grampians temperatures may rise to 13C or 14C and similar temperatures possible across E Ireland too.

Matt Hugo, Meteorologist

Monday 16th 10am

Changeable week ahead

  • Mixed week of weather with plenty of dry weather in the south until later in the week
  • Often wet and quite windy across more northern and western areas
  • Best conditions during Tuesday and Wednesday with dry and bright weather across England and Wales
  • Generally unsettled nationwide to end the week with rain or showers at times
  • Temperatures fluctuating with cold start, mild mid-week and then cooler to end the week

Monday

Outbreaks of rain continuing to move south and east across most areas of the UK through the remainder of Monday but not reaching SE England until this afternoon and evening and then becoming slow moving here. Following on behind the rain, across Scotland and Ireland initially, will be brighter, colder and showery conditions with some wintry showers possible on hills. These colder and brighter conditions then filtering further south and east through the rest of the day. Clear skies and light winds on Monday night into Tuesday leading to a widespread risk of frost and icy patches.

Tuesday

A dry and bright, if not sunny day for most of England and Wales after a cold, frosty and possibly icy start. For Scotland and Ireland despite a dry and bright start it will become increasingly cloudy and windy here through the day with outbreaks of rain or drizzle developing.

Wednesday

A general north and south split in conditions across the UK on Wednesday with many areas of Scotland, Ireland and perhaps of N England cloudy and damp with a fresh or strong SW’ly wind. The most persistent rain will be across parts of Scotland where some large rainfall totals are possible and when combined with melting snow across hills and mountains then some localized flooding may occur. In contrast for many central and southern areas of England and Wales another dry day is expected with some bright spells.

Thursday and Friday

Despite some uncertainties over the details a generally unsettled end to the week is expected nationwide as one weather front, bringing rain and showers, moves southeastwards across many areas during Thursday. This will then be followed by colder and showery conditions across Scotland and Ireland. Into Friday and a developing low pressure is expected to move across the UK and this will bring a more widespread threat of heavy rain along with the risk of some strong winds as well so a potentially quite inclement day on Friday is currently possible.

Potential severe weather and temperatures

  • Frost and icy conditions possible later on Monday and into Tuesday morning nationwide
  • Risk of some localized flooding across Scotland on Wednesday given a combination heavy rain and melting snow on higher ground
  • Potential risk of some disruptive conditions on Friday as wet and windy weather moves eastwards across many areas

Temperatures will fluctuate quite significantly this week with a cold start to the week with temperatures generally ranging between 4C and 8C though locally between 9C and 12C across SE England today (Monday). Milder weather develops nationwide by Wednesday with temperatures ranging between 9C and 13C. A drop in temperatures is then expected to end the week with temperatures nearer to average with values ranging between 5C and 9C overall. Monday night into Tuesday morning will be the coldest night of the week with many inland areas seeing temperatures fall to near freezing if not slightly below.

Matt Hugo, Meteorologist

Friday 13th 11am

Turning wet and windy

  • Rain and showers to end the week, especially across England, Wales and Ireland
  • Mainly dry weekend ahead for most areas, especially England and Wales
  • Rain developing across parts of Scotland and Ireland later on Sunday
  • Temperatures milder than of late and around mid-February average but with some chilly nights

Friday

An unsettled day as low pressure dominates and brings the first significant rainfall in quite some time. Many areas of Ireland, England and Wales will be at risk of further outbreaks of rain or showers, some of which could be heavy and with perhaps some thunderstorms too for parts of southern and south-west England this afternoon. For Scotland, apart from a few showers, it is a mainly dry day with some bright spells possible.

Saturday

Apart from a few well scattered showers across England and Wales for most of the UK Saturday is set fair with some bright spells at times, despite quite a lot of cloud. The best of any brighter conditions are likely across more western areas of the UK so parts of W Scotland, NW England, Wales, Ireland and SW England. Some overnight mist and fog may well be in evidence in places and this could be slow to clear as well given light winds throughout the day.

Sunday

Another possible misty and foggy start in places, especially across parts of England and Wales, otherwise for most of Sunday it is dry across England and Wales with some bright spells and variable amounts of cloud. The cloud may well be quite persistent in places and lead to quite overcast and grey conditions. Across Scotland and Ireland thickening cloud through the day will herald the arrival of outbreaks of rain and strong winds through the afternoon and evening with some heavy rain possible at times.

Potential severe weather and temperatures

  • Risk of heavy rain/showers and possible thunderstorms through the rest of Friday for parts of Wales, S England and especially SW England which may bring some poor driving conditions.
  • Fog patches this weekend may well lead to locally poor driving conditions.
  • Wet and windy weather spread into parts of Scotland and Ireland to end the weekend also bringing some poor driving conditions here.

Temperatures will be around average this week (5-10C). Minimum temperatures are more problematic given cloud cover by night but lows ranging 0-4C are likely with some patchy frost possible across rural areas.

Matt Hugo, Meteorologist

Friday 2nd 11am

Fine and dry

  • Fine and settled weekend ahead as high pressure dominates the weather
  • Often cloudy but some bright or sunny spells are to be expected at times
  • No significant or disruptive weather expected but some local fog patches possible
  • Temperatures near or slightly below average so a little milder than of late though still rather chilly
  • Continued risk of frost by night where any prolonged breaks in the cloud occur

Saturday and Sunday

The coming weekend will be dominated by quite significant high pressure, with pressure rising above 1040mb across parts of the UK. To put this in to context the highest ever recorded pressure across the UK was in Aberdeen in 1901 on 31st January at 1054.7mb. A quiet and benign spell of weather is, as a result, expected this weekend with dry and bright conditions across many areas. Where cloud breaks by night then there will be an on-going risk of frost, but less severe than of late. Some localised fog or freezing fog patches are possible too, but these aren’t expected to be widespread.

Potential severe weather and temperatures

  • Local fog or freezing fog patches possible, otherwise no severe weather is expected.

Temperatures are expected to be a little higher than of late this coming weekend due to a general change in wind direction with maximum temperatures ranging 3-7C generally. Minimum temperatures ranging between -2C and +3C with the lowest temperatures across inland rural areas, whilst temperatures are likely to remain above freezing around all coastal areas.

Matt Hugo, Meteorologist

Wednesday 4th 10am

Cold in the south, milder in the north

  • Wintry showers in the east and south-east of England through Wednesday and Thursday
  • Feeling very cold across England and Wales to end the week given a significant wind-chill factor
  • Milder conditions are expected to develop across Scotland to end the week
  • Many areas becoming dry by Friday as high pressure develops
  • Mainly dry across many areas into the coming weekend with temperatures slowly recovering

Wednesday

Sunshine and some wintry showers across E England through the day but with no significant accumulations expected during daylight hours. Otherwise many areas of the UK are expected to have a dry day with bright or sunny spells. Cloud is likely to thicken across central and northern Scotland during the afternoon and evening with some patchy rain or drizzle possible.

Thursday

Further sunshine and wintry showers are expected across E England with perhaps some accumulations in places especially early and late in the day, otherwise any lying snow is likely to melt during daylight hours. For many areas of the UK once again though the day is set fair after a cold start with bright or sunny spells. Thicker cloud across central and northern Scotland will bring a mixture of rain, sleet and some hill snow at times through the day but with insignificant totals. However a significant wind-chill factor is expected across many areas of England and Wales.

Friday

Into Friday and high pressure dominates across many areas, as a result it will be a dry day for many areas with bright or sunny spells. A few fog or freezing fog patches may be slow to clear from some northern areas which is something to be aware of. A few wintry showers may still be present across the far south and south-east of England, but these insignificant and isolated. Of note will be a continued significant wind-chill factor across England and Wales with it feeling bitterly cold through the day despite the sunshine.

Potential severe weather and temperatures

  • Sleet and snow showers across parts of E and SE England on Wednesday into Thursday bringing a risk of some accumulations and travel disruption, especially locally and regionally
  • Continued risk of some harsh frosts and icy conditions through to the end of the week
  • Fog or freezing fog patches a possible hazard across some northern areas of the UK by Friday
  • Significant wind-chill factor across England and Wales making it ‘feel’ sub-zero throughout the rest of the week

Temperatures across Scotland will recover through the rest of the week with maximum temperatures here 4-8C. However, for the majority of the UK the cold weather will continue with England and Wales seeing temperatures ranging 2-5C and with some areas struggling to see temperatures rise much above freezing. Temperatures will continue to drop below freezing where skies clear by night with widespread frost and icy patches too.

Matt Hugo, Meteorologist

Monday 2nd 10am

Cold week ahead

  • A cold week ahead across many areas with some further sleet and snow at times
  • Generally becoming predominantly across most areas later in the week
  • Sleet and snow likely across Scotland and Ireland to start the week and then E and SE around mid-week
  • Widespread and persistent risk of frost and icy conditions throughout the week
  • Temperatures below average, though perhaps recovering to near average across Scotland by Friday

Monday and Tuesday

It’s a cold start to the week with a risk of a wintry mix of rain, sleet and snow in places. The greatest risk is across parts of Scotland and Ireland where some accumulations are possible, especially late on Monday and overnight into Tuesday. This may well bring some travel disruption in places. For most of the UK though, especially across England and Wales, the week starts predominantly dry with bright or sunny spells and with just a few wintry showers across E England.

Wednesday

By mid-week high pressure is forecast to become influential, bringing mainly dry conditions across Scotland and Ireland but with increasing amounts of cloud. Across E and SE England a change in wind direction to more of a NE’ly will lead to the risk of sleet and snow showers developing, with some slight accumulations possible. For most of NW England, Wales and SW England though it is a dry day with bright or sunny spells.

Thursday and Friday

By the end of the week high pressure is set to become established across many areas of the UK and this will lead to mainly dry weather. Some wintry showers may well still be present across E and SE England on Thursday but these soon clearing, whilst some patchy rain and drizzle may develop across the far north and west of Scotland. Otherwise the week ends dry with bright or sunny spells by day, despite some variable amounts of cloud.

Potential severe weather and temperatures

  • Sleet and snow likely to bring some local disruptions across parts of Scotland and Ireland on Monday and Tuesday, especially away from coastal areas.
  • Risk of some travel disruption from snow showers across E and SE England Wednesday and into Thursday, especially away from coastal areas.
  • Widespread frosts and icy patches expected throughout the week.

Temperatures this week will be below average. Maximum temperatures on Monday and Tuesday will be 1-4C generally, though not rising above freezing across higher ground of the north. From Wednesday onwards temperatures will recover slightly with highs ranging between 2-6C, but a moderate NE’ly wind across England and Wales will create a significant wind-chill factor. Temperatures by night throughout the week will widely fall to freezing or below with a persistent risk of frost and icy conditions in places.

Matt Hugo, Meteorologist

Friday 30th 10am

Very cold, further risk of snow

  • A cold or very cold weekend ahead with temperatures below or well below average
  • Continued risk of a significant wind-chill factor at times with it ‘feeling’ sub-zero
  • Risk of further sleet and snow at times, especially across Scotland, Ireland, Wales and E England
  • Risk of penetrating frosts given the strength of the wind and widespread icy conditions
  • Cold weather set to last well into next week with further wintry conditions likely

Saturday and Sunday

The cold weather that has developed in recent days is set to stay across all areas of the UK and this will weekend will be dominated by a very cold northerly wind. This will maintain a risk of sleet and snow showers at times, almost anywhere could see some wintry showers this weekend. Further drifting and blowing snow is possible at times too, especially across higher ground of Scotland and N Ireland. In-between wintry showers drier and brighter conditions are expected with some sunny spells too. Widespread frosts and icy conditions are expected nationwide and the frosts being particularly harsh given the strong N’ly wind. Wind-chill values across the northern half of the UK will make it ‘feel’ like the temperature is between -5C and -10C at times.

Potential severe weather and temperatures

  • Widespread frost and ice risk this weekend with some travel disruption possible
  • Further snow for parts of the country also likely to lead to some travel disruption, mainly Scotland, N Ireland, W Wales and perhaps E England
  • Wind-chill factor will be significant and noteworthy from the UK’s perspective with a bitterly cold N’ly wind at times

Temperatures will be below or well below average this weekend with Sunday most likely to be the coldest day of the weekend. Maximum temperatures on Saturday between 1-6C, though. Into Sunday and maximum temperatures ranging -1C and 3C are expected generally with many rural areas of the north, especially where there is snow cover, will struggle to see temperatures reach freezing. Nights will be dominated by temperatures at or below freezing away from coastal areas and widespread frosts and ice are expected.

Matt Hugo, Meteorologist

Monday 26th 10am

Wintry weather set to return

  • A rather quiet and benign start to the new week but becoming increasingly cold and wintry from Wednesday
  • Risk of some disruptive snowfall for parts of the north and west of the UK in particular
  • Frost and icy conditions will become a significant hazard during the second half of the week
  • Risk of a significant wind-chill factor too with it ‘feeling’ sub-zero across many areas to end the week
  • Cold weather currently set to last into the coming weekend as well

Monday and Tuesday

A rather quiet and benign start to the new working week with a mixture of sunshine and showers for Scotland and Ireland through the rest of Monday but with many areas bright, dry and with a chilly NW’ly wind. There is potential for some frost overnight into Tuesday, which is another dry day with bright or sunny spells, though it will become increasingly wet and windy across Scotland and Ireland later in the day.

Wednesday

Moving into Wednesday sees a change to much colder weather across the UK. A relatively mild, wet and windy start to the day is expected across England and Wales as of rain progress south-eastwards but with a rapid drop in temperature then following to many areas through the day. Showers will become increasingly wintry with snow falling to low levels across Scotland, Ireland and N England by the end of the day, with accumulations, and some snow showers potentially extending further south and east later in the day. Frost, ice and a significant wind-chill factor will affect many areas by evening and overnight.

Thursday

snow risk map

Into Thursday and it’s a cold and showery day with the showers falling as snow to low levels across many areas, but with the most frequent snow showers expected across Scotland, Ireland, N England and Wales. Across these areas some significant snowfall is possible, especially above 150m with perhaps over 10cm of snow by the end of the day. Wintry showers are possible further south and east too as a strong NW’ly wind blows the showers well inland, but no significant accumulations are expected for southern and eastern areas of England. The main areas at risk of some disruptive snowfall totals have been highlighted.

Friday

Some uncertainties over the details but the wintry weather is set to continue with a cold and icy start across many areas and with further wintry showers, but perhaps with a trend for the showers to fall as rain or sleet at lower levels, with the snow being confined to higher ground of the north.

Potential severe weather and temperatures

  • Travel disruption is expected across the above highlighted areas late Wednesday and through into Thursday from significant snow accumulations
  • Widespread frost and icy conditions expected from Wednesday night onwards nationwide with subsequent poor driving/traveling conditions
  • Significant wind-chill factor developing too with it feeling sub-zero across many areas to end the week

Temperatures are expected to be near to average on Monday and Tuesday ranging 4-8C generally. From Wednesday onwards temperatures fall and become below average with highs of 1-4C generally, though perhaps remaining sub-zero across higher ground of the north. Temperatures by night are expected to widely fall near or below freezing from Wednesday night onwards with frost and icy conditions.

Matt Hugo, Meteorologist

Wednesday 21st 1pm

Changeable and gradually getting milder

  • Mainly dry for many areas on Thursday with some bright or sunny spells and remaining cold
  • Risk of further frost and icy conditions during Wednesday night and into Thursday
  • Milder and more unsettled conditions developing from the north-west on Friday
  • Risk of some heavy precipitation moving south and east across the UK during the day
  • Colder weather following to end Friday, but not as cold as of late
  • Early weekend outlook is cold on Saturday and then milder by Sunday, much milder too

Thursday

Many areas will have a predominantly dry day on Thursday after another cold start though with frost and icy patches, especially across areas where there is snow cover. For most of England and Wales some prolonged spells of sunshine are expected through the afternoon with just variable amounts of cloud. Across Ireland and W Scotland it will become cloudier through the day though with some rain expected here by the end of the day.

Friday

A milder day than of late with cloud and outbreaks of rain and showers steadily moving south and east across the UK. Some sleet and snow is possible on high ground for a time, but otherwise a thaw of lying snow is expected during Friday given that most areas will see some rain for a time. There is a risk of some heavy rain later in the day across parts of the south and south-east of England which may bring a risk of some localised flooding. Cold weather will follow the rain across Scotland and Ireland to end the day though and showers here will turn wintry once again by the end of the day and into Saturday.

Potential severe weather and temperatures

  • Continued risk of frost and icy conditions through to Friday morning, thereafter the risk temporarily reduces.
  • Risk of some heavy rain across parts of the south and south-east of England later on Friday which may bring some localised flooding in places.

Temperatures will remain depressed during Thursday with highs of 2-7C. Across higher ground of N England and Scotland, especially where there is snow cover, then temperatures will once again struggle to rise much above freezing. Temperatures during Friday however will be on the rise with highs ranging 4C to maybe as high as 10C across parts of SW England and Ireland. Freezing temperatures are expected across many areas on Thursday morning in particular with further frost and icy conditions.

Matt Hugo, Meteorologist

Monday 19th 10am

Wintry weather set to dominate

  • A cold and wintry week of weather ahead across many areas
  • Risk of some sleet and snow at times, especially later on Tuesday and then also later in the week
  • Plenty of dry and sunny weather too, but this not helping the temperatures which will be below average
  • Some very low minimum temperatures early in the week, with temperatures below -10C in places
  • Risk of widespread frost, ice and some freezing fog patches which will create poor driving conditions

Monday

A very cold and icy start to the day with a widespread frost. Many areas then dry through Monday with bright or sunny spells, but wintry showers possible across E and NE. Thickening cloud will bring outbreaks of rain, sleet and snow into Ireland during the course of the day. Temperatures will fall below freezing this evening across many areas with a return of frost and icy conditions.

Tuesday

Outbreaks of rain, sleet and snow across Ireland early on Tuesday slowly moving further east and potentially bringing the risk of some sleet and snow to parts of Scotland, N England, Wales and the Midlands. There is some potential for some accumulations and possible travel disruption to end the day.

Wednesday

A mostly cloudy start to the day with overnight rain, sleet and snow gradually clearing away to leave most areas dry with perhaps some bright spells into the afternoon. Snow may well lead to some disruption early in the day across parts of E and SE England, but details are uncertain for now.

Thursday and Friday

A mainly dry and cold start to Thursday with a widespread frost and icy patches possible. As the end of the week progresses though it is likely to become more unsettled with spells of rain, sleet and snow spreading south and east across many areas during Friday. There is significant uncertainties at the moment regarding the details as to which areas may see further snow, but a slightly milder end to the week may well mean any snow is restricted to high ground of the north.

Potential severe weather and temperatures

  • Wintry week ahead with frost, ice, sleet and snow all potential hazards at times for driving and traveling with freezing fog locally also an additional risk
  • Risk of snow is most likely later on Tuesday and into Wednesday and then perhaps later in the week but with significant uncertainties over the details
  • Temperatures below average throughout much of the week, though perhaps slightly milder by Friday

Temperatures throughout the week will be below average with highs ranging 2-5C generally across most areas. However, up until Thursday, across higher ground of the north and where there is snow cover temperatures may not rise above freezing during daylight hours. There’ll be a persistent risk of frost and ice by night with many areas seeing temperatures fall to freezing or below and early in the week temperatures may well fall below -10C across rural areas of the north where there is snow cover, otherwise minimum temperatures will range between -1 & -4C.

Matt Hugo, Meteorologist

Friday 16th 10am

Cold and wintry weekend ahead

  • A cold and wintry weekend with a risk of sleet and snow in places
  • Risk of some disruptive snowfall across parts of Scotland, Ireland, NW England and Wales in particular
  • Cold nights with widespread frost and icy patches, temperatures -5C to -10C in places on Sunday night
  • Risk of rain, sleet and snow across more southern areas of the UK on Sunday
  • Temperatures slightly below or below average
  • Cold weather is expected to continue well into next week

Friday

Sunshine and wintry showers across many northern and western areas of the UK throughout Friday, falling increasingly as snow even to low levels. Some accumulations are possible across Scotland, Ireland and NW England by the end of Friday, particularly so above 150-200m where 2-5cm of snowfall is possible. Further south and east it is expected to be drier and brighter. Widespread frost and icy patches are expected to develop this evening.

Saturday

A further mixture of sunshine and wintry showers for many areas of Scotland, Ireland, N England and Wales with snow falling to quite low levels. By the end of Saturday parts of Scotland, Ireland and NW England may well have up to 5cm to 10cm of snow on high ground. Further south across southern and eastern England a few wintry showers are possible, but generally it will be predominantly dry, bright and cold. A widespread frost and icy patches are expected early and late.

Sunday

Some uncertainties over Sunday’s weather with a risk of some longer spells of rain, sleet and snow developing across some central and southern areas of England which may bring some snow accumulations in places. Overall though it is another day of sunshine and wintry showers, the showers most prevalent across Scotland and E England by Sunday as winds become more northerly. Further ice and frost is expected both early and late in the day with a potentially very cold night on Sunday night into Monday.

Potential severe weather and temperatures

  • Snow accumulations and travel disruption possible across W and SW Scotland, N and W Ireland and NW England through Friday and Saturday, risk >5cm in places.
  • Widespread frost and icy patches this weekend bringing local travel disruption and hazardous driving conditions
  • Risk of a very cold night on Sunday night in particular with temperatures, especially over snow cover, falling to between -5C and -10C by Monday morning
  • Risk of some disruptive snowfall across central areas of England on Sunday but confidence low.

Temperatures are expected to be below average over the coming few days with maximum temperatures across Scotland, Ireland and N England ranging 1-3C generally, whilst elsewhere temperatures may reach 5C. Minimum temperatures across many inland areas of the UK will fall below freezing in the coming days and with some particularly low minimum temperatures, especially Sunday night.

Matt Hugo, Meteorologist

Wednesday 14th 1pm

Remaining cold and unsettled

  • Very unsettled to end the week with stormy conditions later today and into Thursday
  • Heavy rain and snow melt leading to a risk of localized flooding in places too
  • Colder weather quickly returns though to end the week and continue into the coming weekend
  • Risk of sleet and snow showers across Scotland, Ireland and N England during Friday
  • Early indications for the weekend is for it to be cold and wintry across most areas

Wednesday

Cold throughout the rest of Wednesday with wintry showers dying out to leave a drier spell of weather across Scotland, England and Wales. Across Ireland it will become increasingly wet and windy through the afternoon and these wet and windy conditions, with quite widespread gales will spread across all areas overnight.

Thursday

Persistent rain quickly clearing away to the east of the UK and then many areas seeing sunshine and blustery showers, but with the showers merging to give longer spells of rain in the north and west and with some sleet and snow on higher ground. Emphasis on Thursday however is on the threat of severe gales across Ireland, Scotland and N England with gusts up to 70mph possible leading to some travel disruption and possible structural damage in places too.

Friday

Gales and severe gales quickly clearing away to the north-east of the UK and then many areas becoming colder once again. A mixture of sunshine and showers, the showers falling increasingly as sleet and snow across Scotland, Ireland, N England and Wales and especially above 200m with some accumulations possible by the end of the day. The showers will be more scattered further south and east A cold day is expected for many areas and becoming very cold overnight with widespread frost and icy patches.

Potential severe weather and temperatures

  • Gales and heavy rain Wednesday night into Thursday bringing the risk of travel disruption
  • Focus on the strongest winds is likely through Thursday across Scotland, Ireland and N England with gusts up to 70mph possible, with travel disruption and some structural damage
  • Wintry precipitation returning on Friday may lead to some accumulations and travel disruption across northern and western areas of the UK
  • Wintry weather will continue into the coming weekend to maintain the risk of some travel disruption due to icy conditions and sleet and snow showers.

Temperatures are expected to very briefly recover to end Wednesday and overnight into Thursday, rising to 4-8C generally and this along with heavy rain will lead to a widespread snowmelt. However, temperatures will then fall once again to end the week with maximum temperatures on Thursday and Friday ranging 2-8C.

Matt Hugo, Meteorologist

Monday 12th 10am

Cold and unsettled

  • Highly changeable week ahead with heavy rain, gales, sleet and snow all possible at times
  • Risk of heavy rain across southern areas of England through Monday, possible disruption in places
  • Colder for many Tuesday into Wednesday with a risk of sleet, snow, frost and ice
  • Wet and windy Wednesday into Thursday with heavy rain and gales moving across many areas
  • Turning colder and showery once again to end the week
  • Mild start to the week, especially across southern areas of the UK, otherwise quite a cold week ahead

Monday

Wet and windy weather moving south-east across England and Wales will become slow moving across southern areas of England and Wales through the rest of the day with up to 30mm of rainfall possible in places. Across Scotland, Ireland and N England, it will become colder through the day with sunshine and showers, these turning increasingly wintry across Scotland and Ireland.

Tuesday

Outbreaks of rain clearing away to the south-east and then many areas of the UK seeing a mixture of sunshine and wintry showers as a cold day develops. The showers will fall as sleet and snow to relatively low levels and almost anywhere could see a few snow showers through the day. However, across parts of Scotland, Ireland, N England, Wales and SW England then more organized sleet and snow is possible and with some accumulations possible by the end of the day.

Wednesday

A cold start with widespread frost and icy patches and perhaps some residual wintry showers. It is expected to turn wet and windy from the west through the day, with gales and heavy rain moving across all areas by the end of the day and into the overnight period. Some disruption is possible due to the heavy rain and strong winds and there may also be a spell of snow for higher ground of Scotland as well.

Thursday and Friday

Wet and windy to start Thursday with gales and perhaps severe gales for the north with heavy rain. This clearing away and the end of the week then becomes colder with a mixture of sunshine and wintry showers, the showers most prevalent across the north and west, whilst the south and east are generally drier and brighter. Overnight frosts and icy patches possible.

Potential severe weather and temperatures

  • Heavy rain through Monday across S England potentially leading to some flooding in places and travel disruption
  • Sleet and snow showers on Tuesday and overnight into Wednesday bringing a risk of travel disruption in places
  • Gales and heavy rain across many areas later on Wednesday and overnight into Thursday bringing poor driving and traveling conditions with perhaps some disruption to transport services
  • Frost and icy patches a threat throughout the week but especially by night on Monday, Tuesday, Thursday and Friday

Mild across S England through Monday with highs ranging 8-12C. Many areas are then expected to be cold during Tuesday with highs ranging 3-6C. Colder conditions then dominating throughout the rest of the week with a risk of temperatures falling near to or below freezing by night, but Wednesday night will be a milder night due to the wind and rain.

Matt Hugo, Meteorologist

Friday 9th 10am

Cold and showery

  • Risk of further heavy rain and gales on Friday and into Saturday across northern areas
  • Wet and windy weather then clearing to cold and showery conditions this weekend
  • Risk of sleet and snow showers through Saturday and overnight into Sunday across the north and west
  • Temperatures falling rapidly through Saturday and with a significant wind-chill factor this weekend
  • Wintry showers early on Sunday being replaced by milder conditions with rain across northern areas
  • Mainly dry for most southern areas of the UK on Sunday with bright or sunny spells

Friday

Another area of low pressure will pass to the north of the UK later today and into Saturday bringing a renewed spell of wet and windy weather, conditions will not be as extreme as has been the case overnight. Still, many areas of the UK will become wet and windy to end Friday with the risk of gales and heavy rain, especially across many northern and western areas of the UK.

Saturday

Into Saturday and an active weather front is forecast to quickly move down across the UK bringing a spell of heavy rain and squally showers. Following behind will be a rapid drop in temperatures as a much colder NW’ly wind develops. This will then signal the majority of Saturday and Saturday night to be dominated by showery conditions, falling increasingly as sleet and snow across Scotland, Ireland and N England with some accumulations possible by the end of Saturday, especially above 150m to 200m.

Sunday

A cold and showery start to the day with further wintry showers across many northern and western areas, whilst for more southern areas of England it is a dry and bright start to the day. The showers will be replaced by more prolonged spells of rain across Scotland, Ireland and later N England with temperatures rising slightly and any wintry precipitation becoming increasingly restricted to highest ground.

Potential severe weather and temperatures

  • Renewed spell of wet and windy weather through Friday and into Friday night perhaps bringing some further travel disruption and generally poor driving conditions to surface water and spray
  • Risk of accumulating snow across Scotland, Ireland and N England as Saturday progresses, risk of up to 5cm to 10cm of snow across the hills of Scotland and N Ireland in particular with blizzard conditions for a time, lower amounts across N England.

A very mild end to the week is expected with temperatures rising through Friday and with highs ranging 9-13C. A particularly mild overnight period is then expected into Saturday with a very mild start to the weekend across England and Wales. However, it will become markedly colder through the weekend with temperatures ranging 3-8C.

Matt Hugo, Meteorologist

Wednesday 7th 10am

Stormy weather on the way

  • Increasingly wet and windy to end the week, especially in the north
  • Risk of severe gales and storm force winds across Scotland in particular
  • Strong winds and gales widely expected across Ireland, N England and N Wales too
  • Wet weather expected at times, risk of some large rainfall totals across W and SW Scotland
  • Temperatures oscillating still with a colder day on Thursday before a very mild day on Friday
  • Early weekend outlook is cold and wintry on Saturday into Sunday, then milder by late Sunday

Thursday

On Thursday many areas will then see a mixture of sunshine and scattered showers. The showers will be most frequent across northern and western areas of the UK where they may be wintry on high ground. Rain across the far south and south-east of England may take some time to clear during the morning but once it does those areas will have a predominantly dry and bright day.

Friday

Overnight on Thursday and into Friday will see some particularly stormy conditions develop across the northern half of the UK with severe gales and storm force winds across Scotland during the early hours of Friday and into Friday morning. Winds gusting up to 90mph for a time along with heavy rain and squally showers will inevitably lead to travel disruption. Many areas of Ireland, N England and Wales will also be wet and windy early on Friday, before becoming somewhat drier and brighter for a time.

Further stormy conditions are then expected to develop, again across the northern half of the UK later on Friday and into Saturday. Scotland is once again at primary risk of disruptive conditions, heavy rain may also lead to some localised flooding in places too.

Potential severe weather and temperatures

  • Severe gales and storm force winds with winds gusting up to 90mph possible across parts of Scotland into the early hours of Friday morning
  • Risk of widespread heavy rain and strong or gale force winds across Ireland, N England and Wales
  • Further very strong winds re-developing across Scotland in particular later on Friday and into Saturday

Temperatures will continue to oscillate significantly, with highs ranging 5-10C on Thursday, by Friday a very mild day is expected highs ranging 8-12C.

Matt Hugo, Meteorologist

Monday 5th 10am

Often unsettled – gales and heavy rain expected:

  • A generally unsettled week ahead with rain and showers at times
  • Risk of heavy rain across Scotland, Ireland, N England and Wales
  • Gales or severe gales mid-week across the north of the UK and then later in the week too
  • Risk of some localised flooding from cumulative rainfall totals through the week across Scotland

Monday

The new week starts with some patchy rain and drizzle in places. Some bright intervals may develop in places through the afternoon, but these will be short lived. More organized spells of rain are expected to move into Scotland and Ireland this evening/overnight. Some extensive hill fog is expected across Scotland and N England throughout the day leading to poor driving conditions across higher level routes.

Tuesday

Zone of cloudy conditions with outbreaks of heavy rain and showers will move west to east through the day. Quickly following on behind will be drier, brighter but colder conditions with a few showers, especially in Scotland where they will be wintry. A chilly night to follow is expected with possible frost in places too.

Wednesday

A wet and windy day across many areas, but especially across Scotland, Ireland, N England and Wales with outbreaks of rain and showers throughout the day. Some large rainfall totals possible in with perhaps some localised flooding. Gales are also expected too across the north and west of the UK with winds gusting upto 60mph possible which when combined with the heavy rain will lead to a particularly inclement day for traveling across a large portion of the UK.

Thursday & Friday

Overnight rain clears on Thursday leaving most areas drier, brighter but colder with a scattering of showers. The showers will fall as sleet and snow above 250m to 300m across Scotland with perhaps some slight accumulations. Elsewhere some prolonged bright spells are expected once early rain clears the south of England. There remains some uncertainties over the details but a renewed spell of very wet and very windy conditions are then expected into Friday with Scotland, Ireland and N England at primary risk of large rainfall totals and gales to bring a potentially disruptive end to the week.

Potential severe weather and temperatures

Severe weather this week ranges from localised icy patches on Tuesday night into Wednesday, to gales and heavy rain (50mm possible) and ending with wintry showers possible across higher ground of Scotland on Thursday.

poor driving and traveling conditions expected across Scotland, Ireland and N England on Friday as further gales and heavy rain develop with a risk of localised flooding too.

Matt Hugo, Meteorologist

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About the Special Operations Response Team (SORT)

Each vehicle is double-crewed and trained in flood response and search and rescue (certified to DEFRA Level 3) trained by the same people who train the RNLI and many fire service teams. Crews also undergo 4x4 driver training RoSPA certified, and regularly undertake joint multi-agency training exercises.

Meet some of the team

Darron Burness

Operations Manager Special Operations Response Team

Darron Burness

While at school, I completed two weeks' work experience at AA Workshop in Birmingham, before joining the AA in 1991 as an workshop apprentice. I worked my way up to a Technical Specialist Patrol for Birmingham and Worcester.

August 2008 was a pivotal moment, when I attended the first 4x4 AA SORT course as a Patrol member of the SORT Team.

As well as being Area Manager for Coventry and Northampton, then Wolverhampton and Black Country managing 60 AA Patrols, I started to assist with managing the SORT team during deployments. Since December 2010 I have been managing the AA's response during severe weather and the AA's presence at shows and festivals throughout the year.


Matt Hugo

Meteorologist

Matt Hugo

I have a passion and interest in the weather from a very young age is what has driven me for many years to become a weather forecaster. Through years of education including a science degree and a year spent studying in Canada I finally made the break through in my late 20s and became a forecaster.

Now, with over seven years worth of operational forecasting experience from winter hazard forecasting, and convective forecasting in summer to forecasting for the oil and gas industry, I have a solid understanding of the weather and forecasting. I'm now a Fellow of The Royal Meteorological Society (FRMetS) and live in Lancashire with my wife and little boy.


 

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