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May 2014

View our older posts from The AA Special Operations Response Team (AASORT) and expert meteorologist Matthew Hugo.

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May blog posts

Thursday 29 May 10am

Increasingly fine and settled

  • Residual rain and showers are expected today (Thursday) but thereafter an improving picture with bright or sunny spells to end the week and start the weekend.
  • Risk of some locally heavy and perhaps thundery downpours for parts of SW England today (Thursday).
  • Many areas mainly dry on Friday and Saturday and feeling warmer.
  • Risk of rain or showers developing across more N and W areas of the UK during Sunday.

Thursday

Weather Map

Further unsettled conditions are expected across England and Wales through Thursday as low pressure dominates the weather. Showers and longer spells of rain remain a risk, especially so across N England and parts of Scotland where mainly light or moderate rain may well persist for most of the day. Of some concern is the development of some heavy and thundery showers across parts of southern and SW England and the areas at risk has been highlighted on the associated graphic. Some torrential rainfall is possible this afternoon across these areas with perhaps a risk of some localised flooding.

Friday and Saturday

The week is expected to end with increasingly fine and settled conditions developing. Whilst not wall-to-wall sunshine, some bright or sunny spells are likely on both days and just with a low risk of some isolated showers developing at times. Compared with of late it will feel warmer given light winds and some sunshine and Saturday in particular may well provide the best opportunity for more significant spells of sunshine for parts of England and Wales are a potentially chilly start.

Sunday

By Sunday confidence is quite high to suggest that high pressure will decline and low pressure will become dominant bringing thicker cloud and outbreaks of rain across many areas of Scotland, Ireland, N England and later in the day, Wales and the Midlands. Ahead of this, across SE England it will be a dry day overall with some bright or sunny spells. Some of the rain may be heavy across parts of the NW of the UK during the afternoon, but no disruptive rainfall totals are currently expected.

Potential severe weather and temperatures

Heavy downpours and thunderstorms possible within the short term across parts of southern and SW England during Thursday afternoon, locally severe conditions possible here in the form of heavy large rainfall totals in a short space of time, otherwise no causes for concern thereafter. Temperatures in the coming days recovering compared with late with highs ranging between 16C and 20C, though becoming cooler again by Sunday given increasingly unsettled conditions across northern and western areas.

Matt Hugo, Meteorologist

Monday 27 May 10am

Unsettled start, drier later

  • Risk of some heavy rain and showers for central and eastern areas of England through Tuesday and Wednesday, some possible localised flooding in places.
  • Gradual improvement towards the end of the week with high pressure becoming more influential, so a drier and warmer end to the week.
  • Central and northern areas of Scotland generally dry throughout the rest of the week.
  • Temperatures near average, but feeling distinctly chilly in the rain across eastern areas of England mid-week.

Tuesday and Wednesday

Weather Map

Towards mid-week attention is drawn towards the risk of some persistent rain and showers across central and eastern areas of England as low pressure dominates the weather. The areas highlighted on the associated graphic over the course of Tuesday and Wednesday are at risk of 20mm to 30mm of rain but with the possibility of up to 40mm to 50mm in places. This may well bring the risk of some localised flooding in places, especially in more prone areas. Further north and west across Scotland and Ireland, whilst some showers or patchy rain is possible mid-week it is generally much drier and brighter than compared with England and Wales.

Thursday

Unsettled conditions are forecast to continue into Thursday at the moment as low pressure remains the dominant feature of the weather. Many areas of England and Wales are at risk of further rain or showers at times and for central and southern areas of England then the showers during the afternoon may become locally heavy and thundery. For central and northern areas of Scotland generally dry and bright.

Friday

The week is expected to end with improving conditions across many areas. A ridge of high pressure is expected to build and with the exception of a few scattered showers many areas will be mainly dry on Friday with some bright or sunny spells and feeling pleasantly warm given light winds too.

Potential severe weather and temperatures

Main concern is within the short term across central and eastern areas of England due to persistent and, at times, heavy rainfall with a risk of some localised flooding possible, especially in prone areas. The heavy showers and possible downpours on Thursday afternoon for parts of England and Wales may also bring some locally severe conditions too. Temperatures through the rest of the week are expected to be generally near average with highs ranging between 15C and 19C overall. However, temperatures will be markedly lower beneath the persistent rain across central and eastern areas mid-week and it will feel quite cold here.

Matt Hugo, Meteorologist

Friday 23 May 10am

Heavy downpours possible

  • Further heavy rain, showers and thunderstorms possible for some areas this weekend, especially on Saturday and Sunday.
  • Further risk of some localised, temporary surface flooding in association with the thundery downpours in particular.
  • A gradual improvement is expected over the weekend though and by Bank Holiday Monday may areas will generally be warmer with light winds and only well scattered showers.

Saturday

An unsettled day as low pressure situated over the British Isles dominates the weather. Showers or longer spells of rain are expected across a large area of England and Wales during the day, initially across more southern and south-eastern areas during the morning but moving north and east into Wales and Northern England during the afternoon. Some heavy showers and thunderstorms are possible at times, almost anywhere, but focus is likely to be across Wales, the Midlands and N England during the afternoon. For Scotland and Ireland it is generally a better scenario with some bright or sunny spells and just a few scattered showers.

Sunday

During Sunday the unsettled theme continues and once again the day provides a mixture of sunshine and showers for many areas. Some residual longer spells of rain may be in evidence across Scotland and Ireland to start to the day but this should clear or degenerate into showery conditions. Further heavy and perhaps thundery showers may develop across parts of England and Wales and once again focus may well be across Wales, the Midlands and N England during the afternoon.

Bank Holiday Monday

By Bank Holiday Monday many areas will be drier with some bright or sunny spells and with generally lighter winds than Saturday and Sunday it will feel warmer too. However, there still remains a likely risk of some locally heavy and perhaps thundery showers developing during the course of Monday afternoon. These are likely to be more scattered than compared with Saturday and Sunday, but the risk is there, locally, for some further torrential downpours and inland areas of Ireland, Scotland and N England could be the primary regions at times.

Potential severe weather and temperatures

Weather Map

Wales, parts of the Midlands and N England will see the largest rainfall totals with perhaps up to 30mm to 40mm possible between early Saturday and into Monday. Once again the risk of temporary, surface flooding remains a risk where any heavy downpours or thunderstorms develop and the areas at greatest risk of the largest rainfall totals have been highlighted on the associated graphic;

Matt Hugo, Meteorologist

Wednesday 21 May 10am

Heavy Rain- Risk of local flooding

  • A very unsettled end to the week with heavy rain and showers and possible thunderstorms.
  • Many areas of England and Wales are at risk of heavy rain or showers on Thursday, but with focus on SW England and E and SE England in particular with possible localised flooding in places.
  • Longer spells of rain a risk for many northern and western areas on Thursday where it will be cool given a moderate or fresh north or north-easterly wind.

Thursday

Weather Map

An area of low pressure moving up into the UK from the south will bring a very unsettled day nationwide as a band of heavy and perhaps thundery rain moves northwards before becoming slow moving across more northern and western areas of the country. Following on behind will be some heavy and thundery showers across central and southern areas of England and Wales in particular during the afternoon, these providing some locally severe weather. There is cause for concern over precipitation totals across SW England in particular with perhaps over 30mm to 40mm of rainfall during Thursday with a risk of localised flooding and the heavy and thundery showers to follow may also bring some locally severe weather, especially to parts of SE England potentially later in the day. The areas at risk of heavy rainfall tomorrow have been highlighted yellow, which covers most of England and Wales, but with particular attention being focused on those areas highlighted amber

Friday

The week finishes with a mixture of sunshine and showers for many areas of England and Wales and once again these showers could be heavy and thundery during the afternoon period with local downpours leading to possible further temporary localised flooding in places, along with some hail and lightning as well. Further north and west for Scotland and Ireland it is generally cloudier with more persistent spells of rain at times interspersed with some drier and brighter intervals too.

Potential severe weather and temperatures

The risk of severe weather increases through the course of Wednesday night and into Thursday especially so for SW England and then across parts of E and SE England given the potential within these areas for up to and over 30mm to 40mm of rainfall during Thursday. Some localised flooding is possible. A wide area of England and Wales is at risk of experiencing some heavy rain and showers during the end of the week and as a result poor driving conditions are possible almost anywhere at times due to surface spray and standing water.

Matt Hugo, Meteorologist

Monday 19 May 10am

Unsettled - Risk of heavy rain

  • A generally unsettled week with spells of heavy rain, showers and thunderstorms developing at times.
  • A warm and humid start to the week in particular, generally becoming cooler after mid-week.
  • Risk of some large rainfall totals in places with possible localised flooding.
  • A number of individual heavy rainfall ‘events’ are possible this week for various parts of the UK.

Monday and Tuesday

Weather Map

The week starts warm and humid for many areas of England and Wales as low pressure becomes increasingly dominant but maintains a warm south-easterly wind over many areas. Showers or longer spells of rain are expected across more western and south-western areas of the British Isles, whilst further north and east across central, eastern and northern areas of England it will be very warm with sunny spells. However, both Monday and Tuesday afternoon will bring an increasing risk of some heavy and thundery showers. Where these develop some severe weather is possible and the main areas at risk have been highlighted on the associated graphic. There is growing confidence for thunderstorms in particular across the Midlands and N England on Tuesday afternoon.

Wednesday

A brief respite is expected, at the moment, mid-week with some drier and brighter conditions for many areas. However, a complex weather pattern that will dominate throughout the week does bring some uncertainties and further showers or longer spells of rain may affect parts of Scotland and Ireland and perhaps SE England too. But in-between for most of S Scotland, N England, Wales, Midlands and SW England a drier day is expected with some bright or sunny spells.

Thursday and Friday

The end of the week is set to remain very unsettled with a renewed risk of heavy rain, showers and thunderstorms. At the moment the details remain elusive given a very complex weather pattern, but more prolonged spells of heavy rain, with a subsequent risk of localised flooding, may develop across N England and the Midlands. Friday is expected to see a general mixture of sunshine and showers, but these once again becoming heavy and thundery during the afternoon, especially across England and Wales.

Potential severe weather and temperatures

There is a significant risk of large rainfall totals locally and regionally through this week both from heavy showers/thunderstorms and more prolonged spells of rain. Some areas of the UK may well experience over 50mm to 60mm of rainfall between Monday and Friday, but the areas at greatest risk remain somewhat uncertain, but for early in the week the risk of heavy showers and thunderstorms is most like across parts of the Midlands and up into N England.

Temperatures this week will vary quite significantly with very warm and humid conditions across most of England and Wales on Monday and Tuesday with highs ranging between 20C and 24C. From Wednesday onwards a cooling trend is likely with temperatures ranging between 16C and 20C generally, but still potentially a few degrees higher than this. Equally beneath any persistent rain after mid-week then it will be cooler than 16C.

Matt Hugo, Meteorologist

Friday 16 May 10am

Warm and sunny for most

  • For the majority of England and Wales a warm or very warm and sunny weekend is expected.
  • Temperatures are likely to be the highest since late summer of last year.
  • For Scotland and Ireland more unsettled conditions will become increasingly dominant with rain or showers developing

England and Wales

The coming weekend will be dominated by high pressure and this as a result will generally maintain the sunny and increasingly warm conditions that have developed during the end of this working week. Many areas of England and Wales will experience a dry weekend with bright or sunny spells, these prolonged at times but some cloud at times too. It will be warm especially across more urban areas. There is a low risk of a few isolated heavy and perhaps thundery showers developing across parts of SE England on Saturday afternoon and evening in association with the high temperatures. This risk then transfers further north into parts of N England during Sunday afternoon. It should be noted though that the risk is overall low and many areas will have a dry weekend.

Scotland and Ireland

Increasingly unsettled conditions are expected to develop over Scotland and Ireland this weekend and, as a result, conditions will be far different than compared with England and Wales. A risk of showers or longer spells of rain is expected on Saturday across Scotland and then more northern and western areas of Ireland later in the day. Into Sunday a weather front will maintain a risk of some rain or showers, especially across more northern and western areas of Scotland and across the majority of Ireland. Some of the rain or showers may be heavy at times too.

Potential severe weather and temperatures

There is a low risk of some locally heavy and thundery showers which may bring a risk of some large rainfall totals in a short space of time across SE England on Saturday and N England on Sunday, but emphasis is on a low risk. Otherwise, no severe weather is expected.

Temperatures this weekend will range between 18C and 22C generally across most of England and Wales. However, 23C to 25C is possible in a few places over the weekend, but this will be dependent on cloud amounts. For Scotland and Ireland temperatures here are likely to range between 14C and 18C overall.

Next week

It is ‘short and sweet’ and confidence remains high for a far more unsettled week next week, essentially from Monday onwards. Given continued warmth and increasing humidity next week too then there remains a significant risk of some heavy rain and possible thunderstorms.

Matt Hugo, Meteorologist

Thursday 15 May 10am

International Water Safety Day

Water Safety Day logo

May 15th is International Water Safety Day.

  • May 15th is International Water Safety Day.
  • International Water Safety Day is designed to help spread global awareness of the ongoing drowning pandemic, and educate the youth in becoming safer in and around water. May 15th is a day to spread drowning awareness and water safety education by any means possible. The lack of water safety education has propelled drownings worldwide. Through interdependence, we can change that.
  • Striving to make a planet that’s 70% water, 100% water safe.
  • If you want to find out more, check out their website

For a look at some of the great work being done in the field of water safety, check out our friends at Nile Swimmers and on Twitter at @nileswimmers. Inspiring work by passionate, dedicated volunteers.

Ian, your man on Twitter at @AASORT

Wednesday 14 May 10am

Fine, settled and warm

  • High pressure dominates across many areas during the rest of the week bringing a fine and settled spell of weather.
  • There’s always an exception to the rule and thicker cloud with some rain or showers is expected across parts of Scotland and N Ireland at times.
  • For England and Wales it will become warm, if not very warm locally across urban areas of the south-east.
  • Early signs for the weekend are for it to gradually become unsettled, especially for more northern and western areas of the UK and turning cooler with time.

Wednesday

Mid-week and the fine and settled conditions will become increasingly dominant across many areas of England and Wales through the day. Plenty of sunshine is expected, despite the sunshine becoming hazy at times through the afternoon. It will feel warm given light winds as well. For Scotland and Ireland a cloudier day is expected here with some patchy rain or drizzle at times along with some low cloud and hill fog as well.

Thursday and Friday

High pressure dominates the weather across England and Wales so the week is set to end fine, settled and warm. Whilst some bright or sunny spells are expected there will be some variable amounts of cloud at times too. However, given light winds temperatures will rise a few more degrees by Friday and it will become warm for many inland areas and locally very warm across more urban areas of the south and south-east. Somewhat cooler and cloudier conditions are forecast to remain a risk across Scotland in particular with some rain or showers developing by Friday in particular.

Potential severe weather and temperatures

No severe weather is expected during the rest of the week. Temperatures will become slightly above average by at least 2C or 3C during the end of the week with maximum temperatures across England and Wales ranging between 16C and 20C, but locally up to 21C to 23C is possible by Friday across urban areas of the south-east. For Scotland and Ireland, whilst warm, it will be somewhat cooler with highs here ranging between 14C and 18C generally.

Matt Hugo, Meteorologist

Monday 12 May 10am

Showery start then fine and settled

  • Sunshine and showers to start the week, these heavy and perhaps thundery at times, especially on Monday with localised downpours expected.
  • Showery still on Tuesday but by then the showers generally becoming lighter and more scattered.
  • High pressure builds from Wednesday onwards bringing fine, settled and increasingly warmer conditions to many areas of England and Wales in particular.
  • Scotland and Ireland set to maintain thicker cloud during the end of the week with perhaps some patchy rain or drizzle at times.

Monday

Weather Map

A mixture of sunshine and showers for many areas today and the showers developing into quite slow moving and torrential downpours in some places during the course of the afternoon. Some localised thunderstorms are also possible which may produce some hail and lightning too. The areas at greatest risk of experiencing some torrential downpours with possible temporary, localised surface flooding have been highlighted on the associated graphic. The showers will slowly ease this evening to then leave quite a chilly night for many inland areas.

Tuesday

Another day of sunshine and showers is expected on Tuesday but the showers are forecast to be generally lighter and more scattered than compared with Monday. Heavier showers and isolated thunderstorms may well remain a risk locally across some inland areas of England and Wales. Many of the showers will ease by the evening to leave a mainly dry and bright end to the day

Wednesday to Friday

From mid-week onwards we finally see high pressure become more influential and this will bring a change to far more settled conditions, especially across England and Wales. As a result the middle and latter half of the week is set fair with bright or sunny spells despite some cloud around at times. Scotland and Ireland will maintain thicker cloud at times given the risk of some weak weather fronts affecting both countries. As a result some patchy light rain or drizzle is possible across Scotland and Ireland at times and especially across W Scotland in particular.

Potential severe weather and temperatures

The primary risk of severe weather this week comes from the threat of heavy and thundery downpours early in the week. Where these occur then some poor driving conditions are expected with lots of surface water and spray and some temporary, localised flooding is possible in the heaviest downpours, otherwise there is then no risk of severe weather from mid-week. Temperatures this week will rise quite quickly after a cool start to the week with highs ranging between 10C and 15C generally. However, from mid-week onwards highs ranging between 15C and 20C is likely and perhaps a degree or two higher by Friday.

Matt Hugo, Meteorologist

Friday 9 May 10am

Very unsettled weekend

  • Low pressure will dominate the weather across all areas of the British Isles this weekend bringing a risk of showers, longer spells of rain and rather windy conditions too.
  • Risk of some heavy rain and showers at times, particularly so for more western areas of the British Isles.
  • Risk of local gales across SW England and perhaps S Wales later on Saturday and into Saturday night.
  • A cool feeling weekend with temperatures generally slightly below average and this accentuated by the unsettled conditions.

Saturday

The unsettled weather is set to continue as an area of low pressure moves across the majority of the British Isles. Weather fronts associated with the low pressure will move north and east during Saturday morning bringing a spell of moderate and heavy rain to many areas, but this will move through quite quickly. Following on behind for many areas into Saturday afternoon will be a mixture of sunshine and showers. The showers are expected to be heavy and perhaps thundery, especially for parts of Ireland, Wales, SW England and the Midlands. The showers may also merge at times to give longer spells of rain. More persistent rain may become slow moving over parts of S and E Scotland and strong winds are likely to develop across SW England with local gales later.

Sunday

Showers and longer spells of rain remain a risk into Sunday as low pressure begins to move away into the North Sea but still remains the dominant feature of the weather. A rather cool, if not chilly west or north-westerly wind is expected over many areas too. Some of the showers during the afternoon will be heavy and perhaps thundery at times, almost anywhere, whilst more persistent rain may well remain a risk across parts of N and E England in particular. In-between the showers some drier and brighter spells are possible, particularly for more western areas of the British Isles.

Potential severe weather and temperatures

Weather Map

Many areas of the UK are at risk of some heavy rain or showers at times this weekend, but it is across more western areas of England and Wales that the largest rainfall totals are possible. Up to 30mm to 40mm of rainfall may fall in some places, especially within the highlighted area over the course of the weekend with perhaps some temporary, localised flooding. The other cause for concern is the risk of gales for SW England and perhaps S Wales. Both Devon and Cornwall in particular are at risk of winds gusting up to 50mph later on Saturday and with trees now in full leaf then some felled trees are possible with perhaps travel problems. Many major road networks this weekend will be affected by a lot of surface water and spray as well.

 

Matt Hugo, Meteorologist

Wednesday 7 May 10am

Unsettled and turning colder

  • Low pressure dominates throughout the rest of the week and maintains a risk of showers longer spells of rain and quite windy conditions for many areas.
  • Heaviest rainfall expected across more western areas, but some heavy and thundery showers possible across central and eastern areas of England on Friday.
  • Feeling cool, especially in any persistent wet and windy conditions.
  • Unsettled conditions continuing into the coming weekend with a particularly inclement day for the time of year on Saturday.

Wednesday

An unsettled day across many areas of the British Isles but particularly so for Scotland, Ireland and Northern England. Here focus is on more frequent showers and longer spells of rain generally moving west to east through the day with some locally large rainfall totals in places, with perhaps 10mm to 15mm by the end of the day in a few places. Noticeably as well will be the strength of the wind with a gusty westerly wind developing across the same areas with winds gusting up to 40mph this afternoon. Further south, for central and Southern areas of England and Wales it is a general mixture of sunshine and showers, these locally heavy too.

Thursday and Friday

Weather Map

The rest of the week sees a continuation of the unsettled conditions as a series of weather fronts move west to east across the British Isles, particularly so on Thursday and overnight into Friday. Further widespread showers or longer spells of rain are expected for many areas, but with the largest rainfall totals being reserved for more western regions (see graphic). Friday will see more in the way of bright or sunny spells in-between showers, but some of the showers during Friday afternoon across England and Wales in particular are likely to be very heavy with a risk of localised thundery downpours. It will remain quite windy and feeling cool as well.

Potential severe weather and temperatures

With unsettled conditions expected throughout the rest of the week and into the coming weekend as well main emphasis is on poor travelling and driving conditions due to heavy rainfall and resultant surface water and spray. Locally heavy and thundery downpours on Friday afternoon may potentially bring a risk of more severe conditions locally. Rainfall totals by the end of the week perhaps reaching 20mm to 30mm across the areas highlighted on the associated graphic. No significant risk of flooding is expected however given that many of the weather systems will be moving across the British Isles quite quickly.

A cool end to the week is expected with maximum temperatures ranging between 13C and 16C generally, but cooler than this in any persistent rain and showers.

Matt Hugo, Meteorologist

Tuesday 6 May 10am

Multi-agency working - Fire Service

fire and rescue logos

The weather might not be as extreme as it was over the winter but the team are still very busy. Preparations are advanced on our support of a large number of summer shows and events. However this week is all about multi agency working with the fire services.

  • Darron is off to Warwickshire Fire and Rescue today to deliver a presentation all about our team. The presentation covers our team's capabilities, experience and training level (Defra level 3) as well as the specialist training advice we deliver to motorists stuck in flood water. This process aims to reduce the number of calls referred to the fire services. We have already shared this process with other services like Cornwall Fire and Rescue through our seat on the CFOA water rescue group.
  • West Midlands Fire Service are up next with Darron visiting their control room to again provide a presentation all about the team.
  • Discussions will take place on how both services deal with calls to cars stranded in water and what lessons can be learned from each other

Full details on which events you can see us at this weekend will be out later in the week.

Ian, your man on Twitter at @AASORT

Monday 05 May 10am

Unsettled week ahead

  • Low pressure becomes the dominant feature of the weather through the week bringing rain or showers to many areas at times.
  • Dry and warm to start the week but with outbreaks of rain moving eastwards through today (Monday).
  • Showers or longer spells of rain becoming widespread across many areas towards and beyond mid-week.
  • Quite a breezy week with some strong winds at times.

Monday

The week starts with some sunny and warm conditions across England and Wales, but this is in contrast with wet and quite windy weather across Ireland and western areas of the British Isles in general. As the day progresses the warm and sunny conditions will become increasingly restricted to more central and eastern areas of England as cloudier, wetter and windier conditions head east throughout the day.

Tuesday and Wednesday

Towards the middle of the week low pressure becomes dominant to the north and north-west of the British Isles and this will produce an unsettled west or south-westerly wind across many areas. Showers or spells of rain are expected to periodically move eastwards across many areas with some locally heavy rainfall likely at times, but equally with some drier and brighter intervals too, this most likely during the course of Tuesday.

Thursday and Friday

No significant changes are expected to end the week with low pressure continuing to dominate the weather and maintain unsettled conditions across many areas. Further showers or longer spells of rain are expected to move west to east across all areas at times bringing a risk of further heavy rainfall and it may also become quite windy for some southern and western areas of the UK during the latter half of Thursday and into Friday. Some drier and brighter intervals are possible at times, but generally a cloudy, cool and unsettled end to the week is likely.

Potential severe weather and temperatures

Some heavy rain and showers are expected this week and it is likely to be more western regions of the British Isles that experiences the largest rainfall totals. Parts of W Scotland, NW England, Wales, Ireland and perhaps SW England may well see up to 25mm to 35mm of rainfall between Monday and Friday and with locally higher totals up to 40mm to 50mm possible. Some poor driving conditions are possible at times with excessive surface water and spray.

Temperatures this week start off near or even slightly above average with highs up to 17C to 19C possible on Monday, but as the week progresses temperatures fall away to near or slightly below average with maximum temperatures more typically ranging between 13C and 16C and it will be cooler than this any persistent rain and showers.

Matt Hugo, Meteorologist

Friday 02 May 10am

Unsettled and turning colder

  • A dry, sunny but chilly start to the weekend for many areas with a frost in places.
  • Generally becoming cloudier for more northern and western areas of the UK over the weekend with some patchy rain or drizzle at times.
  • Often dry and bright further south and east during Sunday and Monday and becoming warmer.

Saturday

A chilly start to the weekend is expected, especially rurally across England and Wales where a frost is expected, something to be aware given how late this is in the season now for frost. Otherwise the remainder of Saturday is set fair with bright or sunny spells and given light winds and the sunshine it will feel pleasantly warm. Cloud is expected to be thicker across Ireland and Scotland through the day with some patchy rain or drizzle here at times.

Sunday and Bank Holiday Monday

A general north and west, south and east split in conditions is expected throughout the remainder of the holiday weekend. For Ireland, Scotland and at times, N England, both Sunday and Monday will be cloudier with some patchy rain or drizzle at times, but this most prevalent across Ireland and Scotland on Sunday and especially NW Scotland, whilst Monday may well produce some brighter intervals at times. For more southern and eastern areas of England in particular then both days are set fair with bright or sunny spells and it will begin to feel warmer too, especially in the sunshine and particularly so on Bank Holiday Monday.

Potential severe weather and temperatures

No severe weather is expected this coming weekend. Temperatures will start off quite chilly with highs on Saturday ranging between 10C and 14C generally after a frosty start, but feeling pleasant in the sunshine. Both Sunday and Monday are likely to see maximum temperatures range between 12C and 16C, but Bank Holiday Monday is likely to produce temperatures up to 18C or 19C in a few places across central and eastern areas of England in particular.

Matt Hugo, Meteorologist

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